Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks (Breanna Stewart Key Factor): Smart Betting Angles

The Minnesota Lynx are scoring well lately, averaging over 91 points a game, but they're up against the New York Liberty, who have had a tough schedule. The Liberty have faced some of the best teams, which has kept their scoring down. Both teams are playing well, but with Minnesota's recent form and New York's tougher matchups, this game might not be a high-scoring affair. Keep in mind, the last games have been pretty close, so it could go either way, but I like the chance of the total points being under 172. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 21.5 Points (-110)

Betting on Breanna Stewart to score under 21.5 points at -108 seems like a solid choice. The Minnesota Lynx are in great form, winning 7 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 91.3 points a game. In contrast, the New York Liberty have had a tougher schedule, facing teams with a combined winning record. This could limit scoring opportunities for Stewart, especially since she tends to score a bit less when playing away from home. One thing to consider is that while Stewart is a strong player, she averages about 8.3 rebounds at away games, which shows she might focus more on assisting and rebounding rather than just scoring. With the Lynx's strong defense and Stewart's away numbers, it looks like a good chance for her to stay under that point total. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jonquel Jones Under 2.5 Assists (+111)

Jonquel Jones has been a star for the New York Liberty, but her performance dips when she plays away from home. At home, she averages 2.3 assists, but on the road, that number drops to only 1.2. This means she's less likely to dish out assists in this game against the Minnesota Lynx. The Lynx have been strong lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They've been playing well on both ends of the court, making it tougher for opponents to score. With Jonquel's recent struggles away, betting on her to get under 2.5 assists seems like a smart move. It was priced at +111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.10 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kayla McBride Under 19.5 Points and Rebounds (-109)

The odds for Kayla McBride to score under 19.5 points and rebounds looks appealing. Our numbers show a solid chance for this bet, especially since Minnesota has been a bit inconsistent lately, winning only two of their last six games. Plus, the Liberty's strong defense could make it tough for McBride to rack up stats. One key risk is that both teams are coming off good runs, with New York winning four of their last six games. However, McBride's recent performance hasn't been as strong, and she might struggle to keep up against the Liberty's tough defense. Overall, taking the under seems like a smart choice for this matchup at Target Center. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.