Tarik Skubal (DET) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-3333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Tarik Skubal to allow over 1.5 hits is a good choice considering his recent performance data. In the last five games, Skubal has allowed an average of 5.4 hits overall, with 4.2 hits on average at home. This is more than twice the line set for this bet. Additionally, Skubal's current overall and home hit streaks stand at 27 and 14 respectively, indicating a consistent pattern of allowing multiple hits per game. Even when accounting for his better performance against the Athletics, where he allowed an average of 3.4 hits, it still surpasses the line set for this bet. Therefore, based on Skubal's recent and past performances, the bet on him allowing over 1.5 hits is statistically justified.

Luis Severino (ATH) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Luis Severino's strikeout performance makes this bet a strong choice. In his last five overall games, he averaged 4.4 strikeouts, well above the line of 2.5. This pattern continues in his away games, where he averaged 5.2 strikeouts. When facing the Detroit Tigers, his strikeout average rises even further to 7. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he'll have ample opportunity to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his consistent strikeout averages across different contexts indicate a high probability of him surpassing the 2.5 strikeouts line. Therefore, based on Severino's past performance, betting on him to get over 2.5 strikeouts is statistically sound.

Luis Severino (ATH) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Luis Severino for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed (Alternate) market is based on his consistent performance data. Over the last five games, Severino's average walks allowed stands at 2, well above the line set at 0.5. Even when playing away from home, his walks allowed average remains at 1.4, still above the betting line. His record against the Detroit Tigers also supports this bet, with an average of 1 walk allowed per game. Despite his zero current hit streaks, both overall and away, his propensity to allow at least one walk per game remains high. This consistent trend across different conditions indicates a strong likelihood of this pattern continuing, making the Over 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

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