On Friday 18 September 2026, Chicago Sky play Washington Mystics in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 167.5 Total Points, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 167.5 Total Points (-108)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

The odds for this game suggest a total points line of under 167.5, which seems promising. Our numbers think both teams are pretty evenly matched, and they expect a combined score closer to 164.8, which is below that line. This could lead to a lower-scoring game, especially with the Chicago Sky and Washington Mystics both looking to tighten their defense. One thing to watch is that the Sky have a slight advantage in travel, but it's not huge. Both teams have had similar success this season, making this matchup feel more balanced. With both teams likely to focus on defense, betting on the under could be a smart play. Just remember, there's always a chance it might not go as planned. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Chicago Sky +4 on the Line (-120)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Chicago Sky have been playing well lately, showing they can keep games close. I like them to cover the spread at +4 against the Washington Mystics. The matchup is nearly even, with our numbers saying it's close to a coin flip. Chicago's recent form suggests they can compete effectively, especially since they've had less travel than Washington. The biggest worry is that the Sky might not win, as our model predicts they could lose by just over 2 points. Still, taking the points with Chicago feels like a solid choice here. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sonia Citron Under 20.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Sonia Citron has been a bit off lately, with her scoring and rebounding numbers below her usual. In her recent games, she's making fewer shots and grabbing less than two defensive rebounds on average, which is noticeably lower than what we've seen from her before. With the Chicago Sky playing the Washington Mystics, this matchup could be tough for her, especially since both teams have solid defenses. Betting on Citron to score under 20.5 points and rebounds feels like a smart move based on her current form. The biggest risk here is that she could bounce back and surprise everyone, but right now, everything points to her struggling to reach that total. So, it's worth a shot to take the under on this one. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Georgia Amoore Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-109)

Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing

Georgia Amoore has been struggling to hit shots from beyond the arc lately. In her last five games, she's averaged just over four field goals made, but when it comes to three-pointers, she's only managed to make about 0.8. This suggests she's not finding her rhythm from long distance. Playing at home in Wintrust Arena against the Washington Mystics, the pressure might be on her, but the stats show she's not consistently making those three-pointers. The Mystics are a solid defensive team, which could make it even tougher for her to find open looks. With the bet being set at under 1.5 three-pointers made, there's a good chance she won't reach that mark. Just remember, it's a close matchup, so things could go either way. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Shakira Austin Over 17.5 Points (+112)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

Shakira Austin has been making a solid impact lately, especially when it comes to scoring. She's been getting to the free-throw line more often than usual, which really boosts her points. Plus, the Chicago Sky's defense might struggle to contain her, allowing her to rack up the numbers. However, the match-up is tricky since both teams are pretty evenly matched right now, and it's not guaranteed she'll have a standout game. Still, betting on her to score over 17.5 points feels worth a shot given her recent form and the chances she'll get to shoot more. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Chicago Sky v Washington Mystics. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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