Ben Brown (CHC) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Ben Brown for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts is backed by his strong performance data. His last 5 games show an average of 5.2 strikeouts overall, and 5.6 at home, both well above the line of 2.5. This trend is even stronger against the Brewers, with an average of 10 strikeouts. His innings pitched (IP) and outs averages also suggest durability on the mound, particularly against the Brewers where his IP average is 7. Furthermore, Brown is on a consistent hit streak, with 14 games overall and 10 at home, indicating a sustained high performance. Therefore, the bet on Brown to achieve over 2.5 strikeouts is statistically sound, given his recent form and specific performance against the Brewers.

Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet on Nico Hoerner for Batter Stolen Bases is a strong choice due to his recent performance data. Hoerner's last five games, whether overall, at home, or against the Brewers specifically, show no stolen bases, indicating a lack of aggressive base running. Furthermore, his average caught stealing (Cs) rate at home and overall is 0.2, suggesting he is more likely to be caught than to successfully steal a base. Despite a commendable hit streak, this does not translate into stolen bases. The data suggests that Hoerner's base running strategy is more cautious, making the under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

Christian Yelich (MIL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet on Christian Yelich for stolen bases is a sound choice, considering his recent performance data. Yelich's five-game average for stolen bases, both overall and against the Cubs, is 0.4, which is below the line of 0.5. Moreover, his five-game average for stolen bases while playing away is even lower at 0.2. His current hit streak, both overall and away, is only 1, indicating a lack of momentum that could lead to stolen bases. Furthermore, Yelich has not been caught stealing in the last five games, which suggests he may be playing it safe on the base paths. These factors all point to a lower likelihood of Yelich stealing a base in the upcoming game, making the under 0.5 bet a statistically informed choice.

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