Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 9.5 Rebounds (+106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to host the Sacramento Kings, all eyes will be on Moussa Diabate and his rebounding prowess. While he's been solid recently, averaging 10.8 boards at home, a closer look reveals some telling patterns. Against the Kings, Diabate's numbers dip to just 5 rebounds per game when playing at home, which is a significant contrast to his overall average. Considering the Kings' pace and style of play, they often prioritize spacing and shooting over crashing the boards. With Diabate's recent form showing just a 60% hit rate in his last 10 games and an average of 8.53 expected rebounds, targeting the Under 9.5 seems prudent. Given the matchup dynamics and his historical performance against Sacramento, it's a tight squeeze for him to exceed this mark. This prop bet leans toward the under, making it a compelling play for savvy bettors.

LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) Under 3.5 Threes Made (+114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Sacramento Kings, all eyes will be on LaMelo Ball and his three-point shooting. While he's a dynamic scorer, recent trends suggest that taking the under on 3.5 threes could be a savvy move. In his last five games, Ball has hit an average of 4.8 threes, but at home against the Kings, he's struggled, averaging just 0 threes in their last clash. Don't overlook the context; he's only managed 3.2 threes against Sacramento in their last five meetings, with his home hit rate standing at a respectable 60% overall, but the matchup history looms large. With an expected stat value of around 3.21 and an implied probability of 46.7%, it looks like the odds are favoring a quieter night from beyond the arc for Ball. This could be a golden opportunity to cash in on the under.

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