On Wednesday 21 October 2026, Cagliari play Bologna in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 8.5 Total Corners, priced at -161 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Cagliari prepares to host Bologna, expect a lively encounter that could lead to plenty of corner kicks. Cagliari’s home matches have been characterized by a relentless attacking style, averaging nearly 14 shots per game and generating around 1.4 corners per match in their last five outings at home. Bologna, while struggling on the road, still manages about 1.6 corners when visiting, aided by their own tendency to push forward. Both teams have shown a knack for drawing fouls—Cagliari averaging over 9 per match and Bologna not too far behind with about 10. This aggressive play is bound to create set-piece opportunities, pushing corner totals higher. Given the recent form and both teams’ corner averages, betting on over 8.5 corners feels like a savvy move for this clash. Expect a bustling match where corners pile up as the teams vie for crucial points.
Cagliari vs Bologna: Bologna -0.25 Goal Handicap (+105)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Cagliari prepares to host Bologna, recent form suggests a favorable narrative for the visitors. Cagliari’s home struggle is evident, averaging just 0.8 goals in their last five matches at home, while Bologna, despite a rocky patch, has notched 1.2 goals away. The xG stats reveal both teams are firing blanks lately, but Bologna's ability to generate more chances, averaging over 10 shots per game, gives them the edge. In their last five encounters, Bologna boasts a commendable 3-1-1 record against Cagliari, suggesting a psychological advantage. Furthermore, Cagliari's defensive lapses, allowing an average of 1.2 goals per game at home, could prove decisive. With Bologna needing points to climb the table, their motivation is palpable. Betting on Bologna -0.25 seems like a smart move as they look to exploit Cagliari's vulnerabilities and secure a crucial away win.
That is how our model reads Cagliari v Bologna. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article