Here are our Tennis picks for Wednesday 9 September 2026. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Coco Gauff to win the match, priced at -185 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff: Coco Gauff to win the match (-185)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Mirra Andreeva faces Coco Gauff at US Open on Wednesday 9 September 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Coco Gauff wins the match. It was priced at -185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.40 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Gauff's recent form is stellar, boasting a 100% win rate in her last five matches, while Andreeva has struggled. Gauff's serve efficiency is highlighted by her opponent's average first-serve percentage of 66.1% and a second-serve win rate of just 48.2%, indicating vulnerability under pressure. Gauff's ability to capitalize on break points is crucial, given her opponent's 30.4% break point save rate. Additionally, Gauff's overall serve points won at 74.5% on hard courts is notably superior to Andreeva's recent performance. The combination of Gauff's high first-serve percentage and her opponent's low points won on serve suggests Gauff can dominate rallies, further enhancing her chances to win. Overall, Gauff's consistent form and superior serve metrics make her a strong pick in this matchup.

Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx: Alexander Blockx to win the match (+160)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Karen Khachanov faces Alexander Blockx at US Open on Wednesday 9 September 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Alexander Blockx wins the match. It was priced at +160 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. In the upcoming match, Alexander Blockx presents significant value at odds of 2.6 against Karen Khachanov. Blockx’s recent form is impressive, boasting an 80% win rate over his last five matches, indicating strong momentum. His serve stats are solid, with a first-serve percentage of 51.4% and a first-serve points won rate of 78.2%. He effectively converts pressure points, demonstrated by a 55.6% break point save rate. In contrast, Khachanov has inconsistent form, and his performance under pressure has been wobbly, which can be critical in tight matches. Blockx's ability to maintain a high level of serve efficiency and his resilience on break points makes him a favorable pick.

That is the model's read on today's Tennis card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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