Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Thursday 03/26 (7-Leg) Featuring Ace Bailey!: High Probability Plays

As the Utah Jazz gear up to take on the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Ace Bailey. The buzz might have you thinking he'll be a standout, but let's consider the numbers. With an implied probability of 76.9% backing the under on his combined points and rebounds set at 38.5, the trend is hard to ignore. Over his last 20 games, Bailey has consistently found himself under this threshold, hitting the mark just twice. Playing at home, he's even more restrained, with an impressive 18 of those 20 outings landing below this line. The Wizards, while not a defensive powerhouse, offer a matchup that doesn't favor a breakout performance from him. Given his recent form and the Jazz's game plan, expecting Bailey to exceed that number feels like a long shot. Keep your expectations in check-taking the under seems like the smart play here.

Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 31.5 Points (-333)

As the Utah Jazz prepare to face the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Ace Bailey, but we're leaning toward him falling short of that hefty 31.5 points line. While Bailey has been impressive, racking up an expected stat value of just 17.32 in recent matchups tells a different story. His hit rate is a solid 85% over the last 20 games, yet remarkably, at home, he's even more restrained, hitting the under 90% of the time. The Wizards, known for their defensive grit, will likely apply pressure, which could stifle Bailey's scoring opportunities. With an implied probability of 76.9% for the under, it feels like the smart play here. Expect a competitive game, but Bailey's scoring might not reach those lofty heights against a tough opponent. Keep an eye on him, but don't expect fireworks tonight.

Will Riley (Washington Wizards) Under 23.5 Points (-323)

As the Jazz prepare to host the Wizards, all eyes should be on Will Riley, particularly when considering a bet on him to score under 23.5 points. This season, Riley has displayed an uncanny ability to fall short of this threshold, hitting the under a staggering 20 out of his last 20 games. The pressure of playing away from home against a solid Jazz defense may tighten his scoring opportunities even further.Moreover, Riley's recent form on the road has seen him consistently struggle, with an unblemished under streak in his last nine away games. The Jazz's knack for stifling opposing scorers means Riley will likely face a rigorous challenge to find his rhythm. With an expected stat value of just 11.83 points and an implied probability of 76.3%, the under on Riley's point total seems like a savvy move for this matchup.

Ace Bailey (Utah Jazz) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-667)

As the Utah Jazz gear up to face the Washington Wizards, all eyes will be on Ace Bailey, but not in the way many expect. With a rebound line set at 9.5, the smart play here is to bet the under. Bailey has been on a remarkable streak, notching an impressive 20 consecutive games without exceeding this number. What's even more telling is his home performance, where he's maintained that perfect record. The Wizards have struggled against bigger players in the paint, but Bailey's average of just 4.73 expected rebounds suggests he'll likely fall short of the mark. With an implied probability of 87% backing this bet, it's hard to ignore the data. In this matchup, the numbers favor a more subdued performance from Bailey, making the under on his rebounds a savvy choice for this game.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 15.5 Rebounds (-588)

As the Spurs gear up to face the Grizzlies in Memphis, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but we're leaning towards the under on his rebounding total set at 15.5. Wembanyama's recent performance offers intriguing insights-he's averaged just 11.2 boards over his last five games, and his away numbers dip slightly to 11.4. Against Memphis, he's found the glass particularly challenging, pulling down only 7.2 rebounds in his last five matchups. With the Grizzlies boasting a solid frontcourt, it's likely he'll face tougher competition tonight. Interestingly, he's hit the under in all of his last nine games, including seven straight on the road. The numbers suggest that while he's undeniably talented, tonight's matchup could keep him closer to that 11-rebound mark rather than the lofty 15.5. It's a smart play to take the under here and let the trends

Cody Williams (Utah Jazz) Under 21.5 Points (-278)

In the matchup between the Jazz and Wizards, targeting Cody Williams for under 21.5 points feels like a smart play. Yes, he's a rising star, but recent performances paint a different picture. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 19.6 points, and when you break it down for home games, that number dips to a mere 12.6. Against Washington, he's struggled even more, posting an average of just 9 points in their last five encounters, and a paltry 2 points at home against them. His hit rate? A staggering 18 out of 20 for the under, with an impressive 19 out of 20 at home. The odds suggest a 73.5% chance of him going under, which aligns perfectly with his recent trend. With the Jazz at home and the Wizards coming to town, expect Williams to find it tough to reach that 21.5 mark.