Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks (Breanna Stewart Key Factor): Analytics Breakdown

Betting on Atlanta Dream to cover the spread at -3.5 is a solid choice right now. They've been on fire, winning 9 of their last 10 games and all 6 of their most recent matchups. This team has faced the toughest opponents in the league and still performed well, which shows they can handle pressure. New York Liberty has also been playing well, winning 6 of their last 10, but their opponents have not been as challenging overall. Plus, the Dream have a better recent rest and travel situation, which can be important in back-to-back games. The matchup looks tight, and while it could go either way, the Dream's current form gives them the slight upper hand here. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Atlanta Dream to Win (-149)

The odds at -152 for the Atlanta Dream to win look promising, especially since they've been on fire, winning 9 out of their last 10 games. They've also won all of their last 6 matches. On top of that, the teams they've played recently haven't been easy, with a combined record that shows they faced one of the toughest schedules in the league. The New York Liberty have also been doing well, winning 6 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 6. However, they just might have a tougher time on the road, as they've traveled more than Atlanta and have played teams that are slightly tougher overall. The biggest risk is how closely matched these two teams can be based on their recent performances. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 22.5 Points (-110)

Breanna Stewart has been putting up big points lately, but when the New York Liberty face the Atlanta Dream, things could look different. The Dream have been on fire, winning 9 of their last 10 games, and they've been tough on defense. With the Dream's recent strong play, it's possible Stewart might struggle to hit her usual numbers. Even though Stewart has been a scoring machine, she averages fewer points during the day. With her recent performance and the Dream's solid defense, betting on her to score under 22.5 points seems like a smart move. The close matchup adds some risk, as both teams are playing well, but our numbers give this bet a good chance. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Pauline Astier Over 14.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Pauline Astier has been on a roll lately, especially at home. In her last few games, she's been scoring about 8.6 points at night and dishing out around 3 assists. That's a solid combination, and with the Atlanta Dream winning 9 of their last 10, she's likely to be involved in a lot of action. The Dream have been playing well, which can help boost her performance. However, the New York Liberty have been tough opponents, winning 6 of their last 10 games. This matchup could be close, and Astier will need to step up against a competitive team. Still, with her current form and the Dream's winning streak, I think she has a good chance to hit over 14.5 points, rebounds, and assists combined. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rhyne Howard Under 22.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Rhyne Howard has been playing well lately, but the matchup against New York Liberty could be tricky. The Liberty have a solid defense and have only allowed players to score a limited number of points and rebounds recently. With both teams facing tough competition, Howard might find it hard to rack up the stats we're looking for. The bet is for Howard to score under 22.5 points and rebounds combined. While she's been strong, the Liberty's good defense could hold her back. Plus, there's a chance the game could be close, which might lead to fewer overall opportunities for her to shine. This could be a close one, but we like the potential for this bet. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.