Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks (Allisha Gray Key Factor): Analytics Breakdown

Betting on Atlanta Dream to cover the spread at -3.5 is a solid choice right now. They've been on fire, winning 9 of their last 10 games and all 6 of their most recent matchups. This team has faced the toughest opponents in the league and still performed well, which shows they can handle pressure. New York Liberty has also been playing well, winning 6 of their last 10, but their opponents have not been as challenging overall. Plus, the Dream have a better recent rest and travel situation, which can be important in back-to-back games. The matchup looks tight, and while it could go either way, the Dream's current form gives them the slight upper hand here. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Atlanta Dream to Win (-152)

The odds at -152 for the Atlanta Dream to win look promising, especially since they've been on fire, winning 9 out of their last 10 games. They've also won all of their last 6 matches. On top of that, the teams they've played recently haven't been easy, with a combined record that shows they faced one of the toughest schedules in the league. The New York Liberty have also been doing well, winning 6 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 6. However, they just might have a tougher time on the road, as they've traveled more than Atlanta and have played teams that are slightly tougher overall. The biggest risk is how closely matched these two teams can be based on their recent performances. It was priced at -152 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.60 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Allisha Gray Under 25.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Allisha Gray has been on fire lately, but she faces a tough test against the New York Liberty. They have a strong defense and have been keeping opponents' scoring down. Gray's average points, rebounds, and assists might be affected by this pressure, especially since the Liberty have been playing against some really competitive teams. With the Liberty holding their opponents to low numbers, it makes sense to take a look at Gray's total. While she's been doing well, the matchup suggests she could struggle to hit the over on 25.5. This is a close game, and the chance of her going under is solid. Just keep in mind that if she has a great game, that could change things quickly. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sabrina Ionescu Under 18.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Sabrina Ionescu has been playing well, but the matchup against the Atlanta Dream is tricky. The Dream have been on fire, winning six straight games, and they've faced some tough teams along the way. Ionescu might struggle to find open looks, especially with Atlanta's solid defense. Betting on her to score under 18.5 points and rebounds makes sense here. The Dream's strong play could limit her chances, and even though she averages 14.8 points at night, the pressure of this matchup might keep her from hitting that mark. With both teams having challenging schedules, this game could be close, and Ionescu could feel the heat. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 31.5 Points and Rebounds (-109)

Breanna Stewart has been impressive, but her scoring and rebounding numbers drop during the day. While she averages about 22 points at night, that drops to around 16 in daylight games. The Atlanta Dream are also on a roll, winning 9 of their last 10 games, which means they are likely to have a strong defense against her. This matchup looks close, and with the Dream's solid form, it might be tougher for Stewart to reach those high numbers. Plus, both teams face a challenging schedule, but the Dream have been playing against slightly weaker teams lately. Bet under 31.5 points and rebounds for Stewart; it could be a smart choice given these factors. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.