On Wednesday 21 October 2026, Athletic Bilbao play Getafe in La Liga. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Both Teams To Score: No, priced at -161 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As we look ahead to the clash between Athletic Bilbao and Getafe, there's a compelling case for betting on 'No' in the Both Teams to Score market. Bilbao has been impressive defensively at home, conceding just 0.2 goals on average in their last five outings, with a solid xG of 0 for their opponents. Meanwhile, Getafe's struggles are evident; they’ve not found the back of the net away from home in their last five matches, averaging a woeful 0.6 goals overall. Their attacking stats are bleak, with just 3.6 shots on target per game. Given Bilbao's strong home form and Getafe's inability to score, it's hard to envision both teams lighting up the scoreboard. The trends strongly suggest a low-scoring affair, making 'No' a savvy choice for this matchup.
Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe: Under 1.5 Total Goals (+180)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Athletic Bilbao prepares to host Getafe, the narrative points towards a tentative clash in front of goal. Both teams have struggled to find the back of the net recently, with Bilbao averaging just 1.2 goals in their last five home matches and Getafe failing to score on the road in their last five outings. The defensive shape of both sides has been commendable; Bilbao conceded a mere 0.2 xG to opponents at home, while Getafe's away form has seen them average just 0.6 goals per match. With a combined trend of low-scoring games—Getafe’s last five away games have seen them net zero goals—expect a tight encounter where breaking through the defense will be a challenge. Therefore, betting on under 1.5 total goals feels like a savvy play, given the current trajectories of both teams.
Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe: Getafe +0.75 Goal Handicap (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
When Athletic Bilbao hosts Getafe, the stats reveal a promising narrative for the visitors. Bilbao's home form has been shaky, registering just two wins in their last five, and they've been averaging a mere 1.2 goals per match while conceding 1.0. Meanwhile, Getafe's recent away struggles paint a dire picture, but they’ve shown resilience against Bilbao, with a solid record in their last five encounters, boasting two wins. What's compelling here is that Getafe's xG stats indicate potential—despite their current scoring woes, they’ve outperformed expected metrics in past matches. Bilbao's defense has been porous, allowing 1.8 goals per away game, which could open the door for Getafe to capitalize on any mistakes. With a handicap of 0.75, backing Getafe feels like a strategic move—especially considering their history against Bilbao and the potential for a tighter match than expected.
That is how our model reads Athletic Bilbao v Getafe. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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