UFC
UFC predictions for Saturday, October 10: the model backs Francisco Prado
6 UFC fights on Saturday. The model's strongest pick is Francisco Prado to win, a HIGH-confidence call.
By Tyler Brennan · Published Oct 9, 9:30 PM UTC · Updated Oct 10, 9:30 PM UTC
Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers
Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris
Sat Oct 10
Our pick: Allen Frye Jr. to win+300
LONG-SHOT — about a 3 in 10 chance by our numbers
For Allen Frye Jr. to win this fight against RJ Harris, he needs to stay on the offensive and use his striking skills effectively.
Brendson Ribeiro vs Felipe Franco
Sat Oct 10
Our pick: Brendson Ribeiro to win+320
LONG-SHOT — about a 3 in 10 chance by our numbers
Brendson Ribeiro has been showing solid skills lately, and he's an underdog with a real shot at winning against Felipe Franco.
Gerald Meerschaert vs Julius Walker
Sat Oct 10
Julius Walker at Gerald Meerschaert · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro Ismael Bonfim vs Francisco Prado
Sat Oct 10
Top pick: Francisco Prado to win-143
HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers
Francisco Prado needs to outlast Ismael Bonfim in their fight tonight.
Melissa Gatto vs Ernesta Kareckaite
Sat Oct 10
Ernesta Kareckaite at Melissa Gatto · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan
Sat Oct 10
Leon Shahbazyan at Niko Price · Total Rounds Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games
Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.
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