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UFC predictions for Saturday, October 10: the model backs Francisco Prado

6 UFC fights on Saturday. The model's strongest pick is Francisco Prado to win, a HIGH-confidence call.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Saturday, October 10. See today's UFC predictions

Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris

Sat Oct 10
Our pick: Allen Frye Jr. to win+300

LONG-SHOT — about a 3 in 10 chance by our numbers

For Allen Frye Jr. to win this fight against RJ Harris, he needs to stay on the offensive and use his striking skills effectively.

Brendson Ribeiro vs Felipe Franco

Sat Oct 10
Our pick: Brendson Ribeiro to win+320

LONG-SHOT — about a 3 in 10 chance by our numbers

Brendson Ribeiro has been showing solid skills lately, and he's an underdog with a real shot at winning against Felipe Franco.

Gerald Meerschaert vs Julius Walker

Sat Oct 10
Julius Walker at Gerald Meerschaert · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Ismael Bonfim vs Francisco Prado

Sat Oct 10
Top pick: Francisco Prado to win-143

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Francisco Prado needs to outlast Ismael Bonfim in their fight tonight.

Melissa Gatto vs Ernesta Kareckaite

Sat Oct 10
Ernesta Kareckaite at Melissa Gatto · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Niko Price vs Leon Shahbazyan

Sat Oct 10
Leon Shahbazyan at Niko Price · Total Rounds Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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