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UFC predictions for Sunday, October 4: the model backs Ateba Gautier

12 UFC fights on Sunday. The model's strongest pick is Ateba Gautier to win, a HIGH-confidence call. 2 more fights have a HIGH-confidence pick.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Sunday, October 4. See today's UFC predictions

Alden Coria vs Imanol Rodriguez

Sun Oct 4
Our pick: Alden Coria to win+155

LEAN — about a 4 in 10 chance by our numbers

Alden Coria has been showing strong skills lately, making him a fighter to watch.

Andrey Pulyaev vs Damian Pinas

Sun Oct 4
Our pick: Andrey Pulyaev to win+450

LONG-SHOT — about a 3 in 10 chance by our numbers

Andrey Pulyaev is stepping into the octagon against Damian Pinas, and it looks like he has a solid chance to win this fight.

Court McGee vs Eric Nolan

Sun Oct 4
Eric Nolan at Court McGee · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Payton Talbott

Sun Oct 4
Payton Talbott at Deiveson Figueiredo · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Jacobe Smith vs Bruce Whitehead

Sun Oct 4
Bruce Whitehead at Jacobe Smith · Total Rounds Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

King Green vs Esteban Ribovics

Sun Oct 4
Esteban Ribovics at King Green · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Marcus McGhee vs Bernardo Sopaj

Sun Oct 4
Bernardo Sopaj at Marcus McGhee · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev

Sun Oct 4
Ismail Naurdiev at Marvin Vettori · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Natalia Silva vs Wang Cong

Sun Oct 4
Wang Cong at Natalia Silva · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Rafael Dos Anjos vs Alexander Hernandez

Sun Oct 4
Alexander Hernandez at Rafael Dos Anjos · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Roberto Soldic vs Khaos Williams

Sun Oct 4
Khaos Williams at Roberto Soldic · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Roman Kopylov vs Ateba Gautier

Sun Oct 4
Top pick: Ateba Gautier to win-172

HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers

Ateba Gautier has a strong chance to win this fight against Roman Kopylov.

How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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