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UFC predictions for Saturday, October 3: the model backs Ismail Naurdiev

8 UFC fights on Saturday. The model's strongest pick is Ismail Naurdiev to win, a HIGH-confidence call. 3 more fights have a HIGH-confidence pick.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Saturday, October 3. See today's UFC predictions

Alden Coria vs Imanol Rodriguez

Sat Oct 3
Our pick: Imanol Rodriguez to win-139

HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Imanol Rodriguez has a good chance to win against Alden Coria.

Andrey Pulyaev vs Damian Pinas

Sat Oct 3
Our pick: Andrey Pulyaev to win+475

LONG-SHOT — about a 3 in 10 chance by our numbers

Andrey Pulyaev is stepping into the octagon against Damian Pinas, and it looks like he has a solid chance to win this fight.

Anthony Romero vs Marcus McGhee

Sat Oct 3
Marcus McGhee at Anthony Romero · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Anthony Wint vs Lucas Armand

Sat Oct 3
Lucas Armand at Anthony Wint · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Court McGee vs Eric Nolan

Sat Oct 3
Eric Nolan at Court McGee · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Jacobe Smith vs Bruce Whitehead

Sat Oct 3
Bruce Whitehead at Jacobe Smith · Total Rounds Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev

Sat Oct 3
Top pick: Ismail Naurdiev to win-133

HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers

Ismail Naurdiev has a solid chance to win against Marvin Vettori.

Rafael Dos Anjos vs Alexander Hernandez

Sat Oct 3
Alexander Hernandez at Rafael Dos Anjos · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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