UFC
UFC predictions for Saturday, October 3: the model backs Ismail Naurdiev
8 UFC fights on Saturday. The model's strongest pick is Ismail Naurdiev to win, a HIGH-confidence call. 3 more fights have a HIGH-confidence pick.
By Tyler Brennan · Published Oct 2, 10:30 PM UTC · Updated Oct 3, 9:30 PM UTC
Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers
Alden Coria vs Imanol Rodriguez
Sat Oct 3
Our pick: Imanol Rodriguez to win-139
HIGH — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers
Imanol Rodriguez has a good chance to win against Alden Coria.
Andrey Pulyaev vs Damian Pinas
Sat Oct 3
Our pick: Andrey Pulyaev to win+475
LONG-SHOT — about a 3 in 10 chance by our numbers
Andrey Pulyaev is stepping into the octagon against Damian Pinas, and it looks like he has a solid chance to win this fight.
Anthony Romero vs Marcus McGhee
Sat Oct 3
Marcus McGhee at Anthony Romero · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro Anthony Wint vs Lucas Armand
Sat Oct 3
Lucas Armand at Anthony Wint · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro Court McGee vs Eric Nolan
Sat Oct 3
Eric Nolan at Court McGee · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro Jacobe Smith vs Bruce Whitehead
Sat Oct 3
Bruce Whitehead at Jacobe Smith · Total Rounds Which side the model backs, and why · Pro Marvin Vettori vs Ismail Naurdiev
Sat Oct 3
Top pick: Ismail Naurdiev to win-133
HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers
Ismail Naurdiev has a solid chance to win against Marvin Vettori.
Rafael Dos Anjos vs Alexander Hernandez
Sat Oct 3
Alexander Hernandez at Rafael Dos Anjos · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games
Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.
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