UFC
UFC predictions for Sunday, September 27: the model backs Ailin Perez
3 UFC fights on Sunday. The model's strongest pick is Ailin Perez to win, a HIGH-confidence call.
By Tyler Brennan · Published Sep 26, 12:00 AM UTC · Updated Sep 26, 10:30 PM UTC
Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers
Norma Dumont vs Ailin Perez
Sun Sep 27
Top pick: Ailin Perez to win-149
HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers
Ailin Perez has been showing solid improvements in her fight game, and her striking skills could make the difference in this matchup against Norma Dumont.
Raoni Barcelos vs Raul Rosas Jr.
Sun Sep 27
Our pick: Raoni Barcelos to win+134
LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers
Sedriques Dumas vs Luis Hernandez
Sun Sep 27
Our pick: Sedriques Dumas to win+235
LONG-SHOT — about a 3 in 10 chance by our numbers
Sedriques Dumas has been showing some impressive skills lately, making him a strong contender in this fight against Luis Hernandez.
How we pick these games
Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.
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