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UFC predictions for Saturday, September 26: the model backs Raul Rosas Jr

9 UFC fights on Saturday. The model's strongest pick is Raul Rosas Jr to win, a HIGH-confidence call.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

These were our picks for Saturday, September 26. See today's UFC predictions

Alatengheili vs John Castaneda

Sat Sep 26
Our pick: Heili Alateng to win+270

LONG-SHOT — about a 3 in 10 chance by our numbers

Heili Alateng has been looking solid in his recent fights, showing good skills and determination.

Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura

Sat Sep 26
Our pick: Brady Hiestand to win+330

LONG-SHOT — about a 3 in 10 chance by our numbers

Brady Hiestand takes on Rinya Nakamura in a matchup where Hiestand brings a solid striking game.

Christian Edwards vs Rodolfo Bellato

Sat Sep 26
Rodolfo Bellato at Christian Edwards · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Mickey Gall vs Sedriques Dumas

Sat Sep 26
Sedriques Dumas at Mickey Gall · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Norma Dumont vs Ailin Perez

Sat Sep 26
Ailin Perez at Norma Dumont · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Raoni Barcelos vs Raul Rosas Jr.

Sat Sep 26
Top pick: Raul Rosas Jr to win-154

HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers

Raoni Barcelos is a skilled striker, but he'll need to keep his distance against Raul Rosas Jr., who is known for his grappling and finishing ability.

Ricky Simon vs Montel Jackson

Sat Sep 26
Montel Jackson at Ricky Simon · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Robert Bryczek vs Rodolfo Vieira

Sat Sep 26
Rodolfo Vieira at Robert Bryczek · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Vanessa Demopoulos vs Yazmin Jauregui

Sat Sep 26
Yazmin Jauregui at Vanessa Demopoulos · Moneyline Which side the model backs, and why · Pro
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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