Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Over 26.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Houston Rockets prepare to host the Toronto Raptors, all eyes should be on Alperen Sengun. The young center has been on quite a tear, averaging 20.6 points and 11.6 rebounds over his last five games. Playing at home, Sengun steps up even further, dropping an impressive 18.4 points and grabbing 11.8 boards, a trend we expect to continue against a Raptors team he has historically fared well against. In fact, he's averaged 15 points and 6.7 rebounds per game at home against Toronto.With a robust hit rate of 7 out of his last 9 games and 3 out of 4 at home, it's clear Sengun has a knack for seizing the moment when playing at the Toyota Center. Given his expected stat line pushing 30.8, betting on Sengun to go Over 26.5 for points and rebounds feels like a wise wager as he aims to dominate on his home

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 26.5 Points + Assists (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Trail Blazers prepare to host the Hornets, all eyes will be on Deni Avdija, but I see value in betting the Under on his combined points and assists at 26.5. While his recent numbers look impressive-averaging 27.6 points and 6 assists in the last five games-context matters. At home, those averages dip slightly to 25.6 points and 5.6 assists, indicating a tendency to rely more on teammates in familiar territory. Historically, Avdija struggles against the Hornets, with just 15 points and 3.2 assists in their last five matchups. In fact, his home hit rate suggests he's gone Under in 11 of his last 18 at home. Given these trends and the overall expected stat value of 22.71, it seems prudent to expect Avdija to fall short of that 26.5 mark against Charlotte.

Tre Jones (Chicago Bulls) Over 7.5 Rebounds + Assists (-139)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Bulls face off against the Warriors, Tre Jones emerges as a prime candidate for the over on his combined rebounds and assists total of 7.5. Recent performances showcase his growing playmaking ability, averaging 8 assists in his last five games, and he consistently finds ways to contribute on the glass with 4.4 rebounds in that same span. What's particularly impressive is Jones' away form; he's hit the over in all six of his last road games, with an average of 7.8 assists and 4.2 rebounds. Against a Warriors team that tends to push the pace, there's a strong likelihood for increased opportunities. With a perfect hit rate over his last nine games, it's clear that Jones is in a groove. Expect him to surpass that 7.5 mark as he continues to be a pivotal player for Chicago.

Devin Vassell (San Antonio Spurs) Over 5.5 Rebounds + Assists (-154)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When Devin Vassell steps onto the court at home against the Boston Celtics, there's a compelling case for him to surpass 5.5 rebounds and assists combined. Vassell has been on a tear lately, hitting this mark in 11 of his last 13 games, and at home, he's a different beast entirely-boasting a hit rate of 90% over his last 10 home appearances. In the comfort of San Antonio, his averages climb to 4.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists, which puts him tantalizingly close to our target. Furthermore, when facing the Celtics, he's averaged 4.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists at home, making it clear he can perform against this opponent. With an expected stat value of 7.65, it seems the stars are aligning for Vassell to deliver big as the Spurs aim to solidify their home dominance.

Stephon Castle (San Antonio Spurs) Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-128)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Spurs gear up to face the Celtics, all eyes should be on Stephon Castle to exceed that 18.5 points and rebounds mark. Castle has been on an absolute tear, hitting this over in all nine of his last games, showcasing not only consistency but a burgeoning confidence on the court. In their last five outings, he's averaged 19 points and 4.4 rebounds, and when playing at home, those numbers tick up to an impressive 18.8 points and 3.8 rebounds.Against Boston, he's posted an average of 21 points per game recently, and considering the Celtics' defensive tendencies, this could be a ripe opportunity for Castle to shine. With a flawless home hit rate in his last four games and an expected stat value hovering around 22, the stars are aligning for him to not just meet, but exceed the mark. Betting on Castle to go Over 18.5 feels like a savvy play in this matchup.

Collin Gillespie (Phoenix Suns) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-161)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Phoenix Suns, targeting Collin Gillespie for under 4.5 rebounds just makes sense. Despite his hustle, Gillespie has recently averaged only 3.6 rebounds over his last five games, and it drops to 3.8 when he's on the road. The Suns have proven to be a tough matchup, with Gillespie managing a mere 1.5 rebounds against them in his last outings. With a hit rate of 17 out of 20 for this under bet, and an impressive 19 out of 20 away from home, the numbers clearly favor the under. Given the Suns' defensive prowess, particularly in limiting guard rebounds, it's hard to see Gillespie exceeding that 4.5 mark. So, placing a bet on him to stay under feels like a savvy move in this matchup.

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