Andrés Chaparro (NA) Over 0.5 batter_hits_runs_rbis_alternate (-196)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Nationals host the Yankees, keep an eye on Andrés Chaparro, who’s been quietly making waves at the plate. With his recent performance, he’s not just connecting, but he’s also putting runs on the board with impressive frequency. The Yankees’ lineup has been a potent force, and when facing off against the Nationals' pitching staff, they often exploit any weaknesses. Chaparro’s ability to find gaps and drive in runs has been highlighted by his consistent contact rate. The Nationals’ pitching has struggled with left-handed hitters this season, and Chaparro fits that bill perfectly. With the Yankees riding a wave of offensive momentum lately, the odds of him notching at least one hit, run, or RBI in this matchup seem high. Expect him to capitalize on scoring opportunities as the Yankees look to pile on runs in this crucial game.

JP Sears (ATH) Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres host the Blue Jays, all eyes will be on JP Sears, who’s been navigating some choppy waters lately. With his strikeout rate dipping and facing a lineup like Toronto’s, which boasts some serious contact hitters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette, the under on Sears’ strikeouts at 3.5 looks enticing. Sears has averaged just over two strikeouts per outing this season, struggling to find his rhythm against teams with high batting averages. The Blue Jays rank among the league leaders in making contact, which doesn’t bode well for a pitcher aiming to rack up Ks. Plus, with the Padres’ potent offense likely to keep the game competitive, Sears may not even see a full slate of innings. Given these factors, it's hard to envision him surpassing that 3.5 mark tonight. Embrace the under and let the numbers speak.

Daylen Lile (NA) Over 0.5 batter_runs_scored_alternate (+135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Nationals gear up to face the Yankees, all eyes should be on young star Daylen Lile. He's been on fire lately, showcasing his ability to capitalize on opportunities—his batting average has soared past .300 in recent weeks, and he’s found himself in scoring positions more often than not. The Yankees' pitching staff, while strong overall, has shown vulnerabilities, particularly against left-handed hitters. Lile's lefty swing could exploit this, especially in a ballpark like Nationals Park where the dimensions often favor aggressive hitters. With the Nationals looking to make a statement against a powerhouse like New York, Lile will likely be in the mix to cross home plate. Given that the model predicts he’ll score a run well over the implied probability, betting the “Over 0.5” on Lile’s runs scored feels like a savvy play. It’s not just about the stats; it’s about the momentum he’s building.

Andrés Chaparro (NA) Over 0.5 batter_runs_scored_alternate (+115)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Nationals gear up to face the Yankees, all eyes should be on Andrés Chaparro. The young slugger has been on fire lately, showing an impressive knack for finding his way across home plate. With the Yankees’ lineup featuring heavy hitters, expect a high-scoring affair that could turn into a slugfest. Chaparro has been consistently getting on base, and with the power surrounding him, scoring a run feels like a foregone conclusion. The Yankees' pitching staff, while strong, has shown vulnerability against left-handed bats, which bodes well for Chaparro's chances. Plus, with the Nationals looking to capitalize on any opportunity against a formidable team like New York, his chances of crossing home plate only increase. Given the trends and the current form Chaparro is in, banking on him to score at least once seems like a savvy play.

CJ Abrams (WSN) Over 0.5 batter_hits_runs_rbis_alternate (-244)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Nationals gear up to face the Yankees, CJ Abrams stands out as a prime candidate to make an impact. The young shortstop has been heating up lately, consistently finding ways to get on base and drive in runs. Over the past month, he’s shown impressive plate discipline, leading to a surge in both hits and RBIs. Considering the Yankees' pitching staff has been hit-or-miss, facing a dynamic hitter like Abrams could spell trouble for them. His speed on the bases adds an extra layer of threat, often putting him in scoring position. With the Nationals looking to capitalize on any mistakes from the Yankees, it’s hard to ignore the odds stacked in favor of Abrams crossing the plate at least once. Given his current form, betting on him to record over 0.5 hits, runs, or RBIs feels like a wise move in this matchup.

Luis Castillo (CIN) Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-118)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we get ready for Friday’s matchup between the Rays and the Mariners, keep an eye on Luis Castillo's strikeout numbers, particularly with the line set at 4.5. Despite his talent, Castillo has been facing a Rays lineup that’s adept at making contact, ranking among the league’s best at avoiding strikeouts. Recent trends show Castillo struggling to find his rhythm against teams with high-contact hitters, and that’s exactly what Tampa Bay brings to the table. Over his last few outings, Castillo has averaged just around three strikeouts per game, far below the mark needed here. Couple that with the oppressive Florida humidity that tends to favor batters, and it’s easy to see why this could be a tough night for strikeouts. With the implied probability suggesting a strong likelihood of an “under” performance, betting on Castillo to finish under 4.5 strikeouts feels like a prudent call.

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