Here are our Ligue 1 picks for Tuesday 6 October 2026. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Montassar Talbi (Lorient) Yes Anytime Goalscorer, priced at +3000 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Montassar Talbi (Lorient) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+3000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Lorient prepares to face Paris FC, all eyes should be on Montassar Talbi, a player who could surprise on the scoresheet despite recent droughts. While his recent form shows no goals, Talbi’s role at home puts him in a prime position to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Paris FC. At home, he averages 0.8 shots per match, hinting at his willingness to push forward and find opportunities in the final third. Add to that his ability to connect with set pieces and corner situations, and you’ve got a player ready to pounce. With a 31 price on the anytime goalscorer market, the potential payout is tantalizing, especially considering Lorient will be eager to make a statement. Talbi might just be the dark horse to break the deadlock and reward those willing to take a chance on him.

Saba Goglichidze (Watford) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+4000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Saba Goglichidze might not be a household name just yet, but in the unpredictable world of Serie A, sometimes the underdogs shine when you least expect it. While his recent form shows he's been quiet in front of goal, there's a certain magic in the air when lesser-known players step up against tougher opponents like Lazio. Away from home, Monza will need every ounce of creativity to breach Lazio's defense, and Goglichidze, with his knack for getting into promising areas, could be the surprise factor. His average of 0.6 shots per match indicates he’s not afraid to take a chance, and though his recent hit rate may not reflect it, every game is a fresh opportunity. Given Lazio’s defensive vulnerabilities, this could very well be the moment Goglichidze breaks his goal drought. Betting on him to score could just pay off handsomely, especially at those enticing odds.

That is the model's read on today's Ligue 1 card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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