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WTA tennis predictions for Thursday, October 22: the model backs Katarzyna Kawa

4 WTA tennis matches on Thursday. The model's strongest pick is Katarzyna Kawa +6, a HIGH-confidence call.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider

Thu Oct 22, 5:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Diana Shnaider -3.5 (they must win by 4 or more games)+110

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Diana Shnaider is offered at +110 with a game handicap of -3.5, which looks appealing given how our numbers rate this match.

Elena Rybakina vs Polina Kudermetova

Thu Oct 22, 5:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Polina Kudermetova +5.5 (they can lose by up to 5 games and the bet still wins)-105

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Polina Kudermetova has been showing solid form lately, making her match against Elena Rybakina pretty interesting.

Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini

Thu Oct 22, 5:00 AM UTC
Jasmine Paolini at Iva Jovic · Spread Which side the model backs, and why · Pro

Katarzyna Kawa vs Belinda Bencic

Thu Oct 22, 5:00 AM UTC
Top pick: Katarzyna Kawa +6 (they can lose by up to 5 games and the bet still wins; lose by exactly 6 games and your stake comes back)+113

HIGH — about a 7 in 10 chance by our numbers

Katarzyna Kawa is up against Belinda Bencic, and our numbers suggest Kawa has a good shot at keeping it close.

How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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