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WTA tennis predictions for Thursday, October 15: the model leans Sonay Kartal

3 WTA tennis matches on Thursday. The model's strongest pick is Sonay Kartal +1.5, a LEAN-confidence call.

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Karolina Muchova vs Diana Shnaider

Thu Oct 15, 3:00 AM UTC
Our pick: Karolina Muchova -1.5 (they must win by 2 or more games)-120

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Karolina Muchova needs to win by at least two games against Diana Shnaider for this bet to pay off.

Iva Jovic vs Maja Chwalinska

Thu Oct 15, 4:10 AM UTC
Our pick: Iva Jovic -4.5 (they must win by 5 or more games)-114

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Iva Jovic has been playing well lately, showing strong skills in her recent matches.

Jasmine Paolini vs Sonay Kartal

Thu Oct 15, 5:20 AM UTC
Top pick: Sonay Kartal +1.5 (they can lose by up to 1 games and the bet still wins)-110

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

Tonight, Sonay Kartal needs to either win or lose by just one game against Jasmine Paolini for this bet to work.

How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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