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ATP tennis predictions for Saturday, October 17: the model leans Alexander Zverev

1 ATP tennis match on Saturday. The model's strongest pick is Alexander Zverev -3.5, a LEAN-confidence call.

By Isabella Rossi · Published Oct 16, 12:00 AM UTC

Written with our model's data and an AI writing assistant, checked against our rules. Meet our writers

Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Sat Oct 17, 4:00 AM UTC
Top pick: Alexander Zverev -3.5 (they must win by 4 or more games)+112

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Zverev has a strong serve and powerful groundstrokes that can trouble Fokina, especially on his home court.

Full Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina preview →
How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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