On Saturday 24 October 2026, Alexander Volkov takes on Rizvan Kuniev in the UFC. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Rizvan Kuniev to Win, priced at +107 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Rizvan Kuniev to Win (+107)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Rizvan Kuniev is younger than Alexander Volkov, which could give him an advantage in speed and stamina. In this fight, Kuniev needs to use his quick striking to keep Volkov at bay and avoid getting taken down. Both fighters are very skilled, and this matchup is nearly even according to the numbers, making it feel like a coin flip. The biggest risk here is that Volkov has more experience in the octagon, which can sometimes make a big difference. Still, Kuniev has the tools to pull off the win, especially if he can stay active and avoid Volkov's powerful shots. Betting on Kuniev at these odds feels like a solid chance to take. It was priced at +107 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.70 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Alexander Volkov -3.5 on the Line (+140)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Rizvan Kuniev is a tough opponent, but Alexander Volkov has some advantages that could make a difference in this fight. Volkov is known for his striking skills and has a longer reach, which can help him control the distance. While both fighters are competitive, our numbers show it's almost a coin flip, so the fight could be close. Betting on Volkov to win by at least four points gives us a good chance if he can keep the fight standing and use his reach effectively. The biggest risk is that Kuniev is durable and can take a hit, which might keep the fight tighter than expected. Still, Volkov's experience and striking ability make him a strong pick here. It was priced at +140 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 2.5 Total Rounds (+205)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds of +205 for the total rounds under 2.5 look promising. Our numbers suggest there's a strong chance this fight will finish early, with an expected combined total of around 0.9 rounds. Both Alexander Volkov and Rizvan Kuniev have styles that can lead to quick finishes, making this bet appealing. While Volkov has experience in striking, Kuniev's wrestling could lead to a fast-paced matchup. The biggest risk here is that both fighters are capable of taking the fight to the later rounds if they play it safe. Still, with the potential for an action-packed encounter, this bet has a good chance of hitting early. It was priced at +205 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $30.50 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Alexander Volkov: last five W-W-L-W-W, on a 2-fight win streak, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 168 days since the last fight
  • Rizvan Kuniev: last five W-W-L-W-W, on a 2-fight win streak, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 91 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Alexander Volkov v Rizvan Kuniev. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article