Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks : Expert Betting Guide

As the Phoenix Suns prepare to take on the Denver Nuggets, all eyes will be on Rasheer Fleming and his rebounding numbers. While he's managed an average of 3.8 boards at home recently, the matchup against Denver tells a different story. Historically, he's only secured an average of one rebound against them in his last five encounters, and shockingly, he hasn't grabbed a single board at home against the Nuggets. With the Suns boasting strong offensive weapons, Fleming might find himself more focused on spacing and scoring rather than crashing the boards. Plus, his overall hit rate shows some promise on the Under, hitting four of six recently. Given the stats, the Under 3.5 rebounds seems like the smart play, especially when considering the game's pace and Fleming's anticipated role.

Khaman Maluach (Phoenix Suns) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-159)

As the Phoenix Suns gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, all eyes should be on Khaman Maluach's rebounding performance. While at home, Maluach has averaged a solid 5.2 boards over his last five games, the matchup against Denver paints a different picture. In fact, he's pulled down just 1 rebound per game against the Nuggets recently, and his home stats against them drop to zero. With the Suns expected to dominate the glass, particularly with their bigs, Maluach's role might shift away from rebounding, limiting his opportunities. Plus, he's only managed to hit the over on this prop in 3 of his last 12 matchups. Given the numbers, targeting the under on his rebounds at 4.5 feels like a smart play, especially with an implied probability of 61.3%. It's all set up for a low-rebounding night for Maluach-let's ride the under here.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 13.5 Rebounds (-116)

When Nikola Jokic takes the court against the Phoenix Suns, expectations run high, but the numbers suggest a potential dip in his rebounding stats. Sure, he's a beast on the boards, but in recent matchups against Phoenix, Jokic has averaged just 10 rebounds per game when playing away. The Suns have a knack for limiting opposing bigs, and in his last five away games, Jokic has logged an impressive 15.2 rebounds on average, yet it's crucial to note that his recent form against the Suns shows a stark contrast with just 10 rebounds. With the total set at 13.5, there's a compelling case to target the under. The odds favor this outcome, suggesting the sportsbooks might be overvaluing Jokic's rebound potential here. Given the trends and the stakes of this matchup, betting the under could just be the way to go in this intriguing showdown.