On Sunday 30 August 2026, Phoenix Mercury play Toronto Tempo in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 175.5 Total Points, priced at -118 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 175.5 Total Points (-118)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The odds at +115 for under 175.5 points look inviting because our numbers suggest a total around 172.8, making this a competitive pick. Phoenix Mercury have struggled lately, winning just 3 of their last 10 games, and they allow quite a few rebounds and three-point attempts. Toronto Tempo is also having a tough time, winning only 1 of their last 10 games. The close stats mean this could be a tight game. However, the risk is that both teams have been inconsistent in their scoring lately. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Toronto Tempo +14.5 on the Line (-250)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
For Toronto Tempo to cover a point spread of 14.5 against the Phoenix Mercury, they need to keep the game close. The Tempo have struggled lately, winning just 1 of their last 10 games. However, the Mercury allow a lot of three-point attempts and grab fewer rebounds than most teams, which could help Toronto find scoring chances. The risk here is that both teams are struggling lately, so it might be a tight contest. Still, with the right effort, the Tempo could surprise and keep it within that spread. It was priced at -250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kiki Rice Under 4.5 Assists (+110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Kiki Rice has been a bit all over the place with her assists lately. In her last 10 games, she has recorded anywhere from no assists to a high of six, which makes it tough to expect her to consistently hit over 4.5 assists. The Phoenix Mercury have been struggling, winning only 2 of their last 10 games, and they tend to give up a lot of rebounds. This could mean fewer second-chance opportunities for Kiki to dish out assists. On top of that, the Toronto Tempo have also been struggling, winning just 1 of their last 10 games and often falling behind. They force turnovers, but their overall play has been shaky. With both teams facing tough times, it feels like Kiki might not get enough chances to rack up those assists, making the under on 4.5 a solid pick. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Isabelle Harrison Under 24.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Isabelle Harrison needs to score points, grab rebounds, and dish out assists tonight for the total to go under 24.5. The Mercury have struggled lately, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. They also give up a lot of rebounds, allowing opponents to grab 35.6 per game. This could limit Harrison's opportunities to rack up numbers. On the other hand, the Tempo have had a tough time too, winning just 1 of their last 10 games and often falling behind by nearly 10 points in games. This means they might not be in a position to assist Harrison much. The risk is that with both teams struggling, the game could be close, which might help boost Harrison's stats. Still, the numbers suggest this bet has a good chance of hitting. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kahleah Copper Under 24.5 Points and Rebounds (-108)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
You can get under 24.5 points and rebounds for Kahleah Copper at -108. Our numbers show that this bet is pretty close to a coin flip, which means it could go either way. Looking at how she has been performing lately, she has had games where she recorded very few rebounds and turnovers. This inconsistency makes it hard to trust her to hit the over. On top of that, the Phoenix Mercury are known for letting opponents grab a lot of rebounds and shoot plenty of threes. They give up 35.6 rebounds a game, which could limit her chances to add to her totals. While she can have a great game, the risk is clear: her recent performance shows some real ups and downs. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Phoenix Mercury v Toronto Tempo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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