On Wednesday 7 October 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
When Nottingham Forest hosts Arsenal, the narrative suggests a potential underwhelming goal fest. Forest has struggled to find the back of the net lately, averaging a mere 0.4 goals per game at home across their last five outings. Despite managing a solid defensive structure, they’ve seen their opponents score just 0.8 in that span. Meanwhile, Arsenal, while boasting a strong away record, have also faced challenges, netting only 1.2 goals on the road recently. Both teams are experiencing a dip in expected goals, with Forest's xG at home hovering near zero. Tactically, Arsenal may prioritize possession, limiting chances on both ends. Given these trends, betting on the under 2.5 total goals makes compelling sense—this match might just be more about discipline than drama.
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Both Teams To Score: No (-112)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the stats paint a telling picture. Forest's recent form at home has been dismal, averaging a mere 0.4 goals scored in their last five home matches while conceding 0.8. Their lack of creativity is evident, with an average of just 0.4 assists and a low xG that suggests scoring opportunities are few and far between. On the other hand, Arsenal arrives with a robust away record, having scored 1.2 goals while keeping opponents to only 0.8. Their attacking prowess is reflected in a steady stream of shots and shots on target. While the Gunners are likely to find the net, the odds of Forest managing to respond seem slim, particularly given their struggles against top-tier opposition. With these trends, betting on 'No' for both teams to score feels like a savvy choice.
That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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