On Sunday 30 August 2026, New York Liberty play Chicago Sky in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 180.5 Total Points, priced at -125 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 180.5 Total Points (-125)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

For this game, we need New York Liberty and Chicago Sky to score less than 180.5 points combined. The Liberty have been solid lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games, but they've allowed a lot of threes and rebounds. The Sky, on the other hand, have won 5 of their last 10 but struggle with rebounds too. Our numbers suggest a combined total of about 169 points, so there's a good chance they won't hit 180.5. The biggest risk is how closely matched these teams are, which could lead to a higher scoring game. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Chicago Sky +18.5 on the Line (-370)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

The New York Liberty have been playing strong lately, winning by an average of almost 9 points in their last 12 games. However, the Sky have shown they can keep games close, coming off a stretch where they only lost by 4 points on average. With the Liberty surrendering 34.4 rebounds a game, it's possible the Sky could capitalize on second-chance opportunities. This matchup has a lot of potential, but remember, it's not a guarantee that the Liberty will cover the spread. It was priced at -370 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sabrina Ionescu Over 9.5 Rebounds and Assists (+110)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

Sabrina Ionescu needs to grab rebounds and dish out assists for New York Liberty to hit the over on 9.5 tonight. She has shown she can do it, with her assists ranging from 1 to 5 in her last 10 games. Plus, the Chicago Sky allow a lot of rebounds, matching New York's average. The Liberty have won 7 of their last 10, so they'll likely be motivated to keep the momentum going. The biggest risk is that Ionescu's performance can be a bit up and down, especially with her turnovers sometimes creeping high. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Breanna Stewart Under 31.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Breanna Stewart has been a key player for the New York Liberty, but her recent stats show some ups and downs. In the last ten games, she has made anywhere from 3 to 12 field goals and has pulled down between 0 to 2 offensive rebounds per game. This inconsistency makes it tough to predict if she will hit over 31.5 points, rebounds, and assists combined. The Chicago Sky have also been solid defensively, allowing a similar number of rebounds and three-point attempts as the Liberty. With both teams giving up about 34.4 rebounds per game, it could be a close battle on the boards. This matchup might mean that Stewart could struggle to reach that total. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sydney Taylor Under 13.5 Points (-109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The New York Liberty will be playing at home against the Chicago Sky, and they've been solid recently, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Sydney Taylor has been up and down in her scoring lately, with her points ranging from 2 to 8 in the last 10 games. That inconsistency makes it tricky to predict how she will perform today. Both teams allow a similar number of rebounds and three-pointers, but the Liberty have been tougher on defense overall. With Taylor's scoring pattern and the pressure from a strong Liberty team, this could be a challenge for her to reach over 13.5 points today. Just keep in mind that she could surprise us, as she's had some good nights too. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Chicago Sky. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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