On Sunday 30 August 2026, New York Liberty play Chicago Sky in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Chicago Sky +9.5 on the Line, priced at -118 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Chicago Sky +9.5 on the Line (-118)
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Chicago Sky has shown some fight lately, winning 4 out of their last 10 games. They're facing the New York Liberty at Barclays Center, where the home team has been decent but not unbeatable. The Liberty tend to force turnovers less effectively than most teams, which means Chicago might find more opportunities to score. Plus, both teams give up about the same number of rebounds, so it could come down to which team makes the most of their chances. The spread is set at 9.5 points, and it's a close matchup according to our numbers. The Liberty are projected to win by around 7.6 points, meaning they might not cover that spread. The biggest risk here is that both teams are quite evenly matched and can surprise each other. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 182.5 Total Points (-145)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The bet needs New York Liberty and Chicago Sky to score fewer than 182.5 points tonight. With the Liberty winning 7 of their last 10 games, they're in solid form, but both teams have a history of slowing down scoring. Since 2019, they allow a similar number of three-point attempts, which means defenses are likely to step up. Also, the expected combined total is about 168.8, showing a decent gap from our line. The biggest risk is that both teams have been close in rebounding stats, so if one team outplays the other on the boards, it could lead to more scoring. It was priced at -145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Leonie Fiebich needs to score over 10.5 points tonight against the Chicago Sky. She's been pretty consistent lately, hitting between 1 and 6 three-point shots in her last 10 games, which shows she can find her rhythm. The Sky allow opponents to shoot a fair number of threes, so this could work in her favor. The biggest risk is that she has had nights where she scores low, but with the way she's been playing, there's a good chance she can hit that mark tonight at Barclays Center. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Pauline Astier Under 5.5 Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
For this bet to work, Pauline Astier needs to grab fewer than 3 rebounds and assists combined. The numbers suggest she hasn't been a big factor lately, with her totals often stuck around 1 or 2 in recent games. Plus, the New York Liberty are strong and have been winning a lot, which can mean fewer chances for Astier to rack up stats against a solid team. The Chicago Sky have also struggled recently, winning only 4 of their last 10 games. With both teams allowing similar rebounds, Astier might find it tough to stand out. The most concrete risk here is that she could surprise and have a better game than expected, but the signs lean towards her staying under 5.5 tonight. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Breanna Stewart Under 31.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-109)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Breanna Stewart has been a key player for the New York Liberty, but her recent stats show some ups and downs. In the last ten games, she has made anywhere from 3 to 12 field goals and has pulled down between 0 to 2 offensive rebounds per game. This inconsistency makes it tough to predict if she will hit over 31.5 points, rebounds, and assists combined. The Chicago Sky have also been solid defensively, allowing a similar number of rebounds and three-point attempts as the Liberty. With both teams giving up about 34.4 rebounds per game, it could be a close battle on the boards. This matchup might mean that Stewart could struggle to reach that total. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads New York Liberty v Chicago Sky. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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