On Monday 31 August 2026, Atlanta Dream play Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 178.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 178.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

The Atlanta Dream have been strong on defense, forcing turnovers at a solid rate and limiting opponents' three-point attempts. However, they do give up quite a few rebounds, which could allow the Lynx extra scoring chances. Still, the overall scoring trend suggests a lower total in this matchup. With our numbers pointing to a combined score around 168.6, betting on the total points to be under 178.5 seems like a reasonable choice. One risk is that both teams are closely matched, so it could go either way. But given their recent performances, this pick has a good chance to pay off. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Minnesota Lynx to Win (-130)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

For the Minnesota Lynx to win tonight against the Atlanta Dream, they need to take advantage of Atlanta's weaker defense, especially when it comes to rebounding. The Dream give up a lot of boards and allow opponents to shoot plenty of three-pointers. This could really help the Lynx if they play well on offense and grab those rebounds. Both teams are closely matched, but the Lynx have been in solid form recently, while Atlanta has struggled a bit despite their recent wins. A key risk is that the Lynx will have to travel quite a bit more than the Dream, which might affect their energy. Still, if they can manage that, they have a good shot at coming out on top tonight. It was priced at -130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Minnesota Lynx +1 on the Line (-145)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

For the Lynx to cover the point spread tonight against the Dream, they need to keep up their scoring and limit Atlanta's three-point shooting. Minnesota has a good chance here, especially since the Dream allow a lot of three-point attempts. Plus, the Lynx have been solid on the boards lately, which helps balance the game. However, the Dream have won 7 of their last 10 games, so they're not an easy opponent. If Minnesota can play strong defense and control the rebounds, they should do well tonight. It was priced at -145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.90 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Allisha Gray Over 20.5 Points and Assists (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Allisha Gray has been having a solid run lately, with her assists often hitting double digits. She's been a key player for the Atlanta Dream, helping them win 7 of their last 10 games. With the Minnesota Lynx coming to town, we think Gray will find ways to score and dish out assists, making the over 20.5 on points and assists a smart pick. The risk comes from the Lynx's defense, which can be tricky to handle. However, Gray has shown she can step up in big moments, and with the Dream in good form at home, we believe she can reach that mark. Let's see if she can keep it going! It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Olivia Miles Under 18.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Olivia Miles from the Minnesota Lynx has been getting a lot of attention lately, but her scoring might take a hit in this game. The Atlanta Dream have won 7 of their last 10 games and are tough on defense, especially when it comes to limiting points. Since 2019, they have allowed opponents to shoot a lot of three-pointers and have given up over 34 rebounds a game. This means they can be a bit vulnerable, but they also know how to keep scores down. With the odds close to a coin flip, this bet on Miles scoring under 18.5 points feels reasonable. The biggest risk is that Miles could have a hot shooting night, but the way Atlanta has been playing defense lately makes it tough for anyone to rack up points easily. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Rhyne Howard Over 17.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Rhyne Howard has been on a scoring roll lately, hitting between 20 and 33 points in her last ten games. The Atlanta Dream are in solid form, winning 7 of their last 10 games, but they do allow a lot of rebounds, which could mean more chances for the Lynx to score. Still, Howard has shown she can get the points needed for this bet, especially since she's been averaging around 25.5 points in that stretch. The biggest risk is that her scoring can vary, with some games not hitting double digits. Overall, taking the over on 17.5 points seems like a good chance! It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v Minnesota Lynx. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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