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College football predictions for Tuesday, October 13: 2 games

2 college football games on Tuesday. The model's strongest pick is Over 43.5 points, a LEAN-confidence call.

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Delaware Blue Hens at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Tue Oct 13, 7:00 PM ET
Our pick: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +1.5 (they can lose by up to 1 and the bet still wins)-110

LEAN — about a 5 in 10 chance by our numbers

Florida International Panthers at Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Tue Oct 13, 8:00 PM ET
Top pick: Over 43.5 points-112

LEAN — about a 6 in 10 chance by our numbers

How we pick these games

Our model looks at each team's recent form, injuries, rest and the price on offer, and works out how likely each result is. When its number says a bet is more likely to land than the price suggests, the bet makes our list. For each game we show the one main-line bet it likes most. HIGH means it lands about 6 or more times in 10 by our numbers. LEAN means about 4 to 6 times in 10. LONG-SHOT means less than 4 in 10: a bigger payout and a smaller chance. No pick is a sure thing.

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