Here are the 6 college football player props our model likes most for October 16, 2026 — every one is our own number against the bookmaker's price, with the reasoning in plain English.
On Saturday 17 October 2026,
West Virginia Mountaineers host
Cincinnati Bearcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is
Michael Hawkins Jr. Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Michael Hawkins Jr. finishes with fewer than 1.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -250 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Saturday 17 October 2026,
Texas Longhorns host
Florida Gators in college football. The bet we are looking at is
Aaron Philo Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Aaron Philo finishes with fewer than 1.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -238 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.20 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Saturday 17 October 2026,
Michigan State Spartans host
Northwestern Wildcats in college football. The bet we are looking at is
Alessio Milivojevic Over 0.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Alessio Milivojevic finishes with more than 0.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -217 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.61 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Saturday 17 October 2026,
Michigan Wolverines host
Penn State Nittany Lions in college football. The bet we are looking at is
Bryce Underwood Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Bryce Underwood finishes with fewer than 1.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -217 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.61 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Saturday 17 October 2026,
Purdue Boilermakers host
Washington Huskies in college football. The bet we are looking at is
Elijah Brown Under 22.5 Completions. This wins if Elijah Brown finishes with fewer than 22.5 completed passes. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.33 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. On Saturday 17 October 2026,
SMU Mustangs host
Virginia Cavaliers in college football. The bet we are looking at is
Beau Pribula Over 0.5 Passing Touchdowns. This wins if Beau Pribula finishes with more than 0.5 passing touchdowns. It was priced at -233 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.29 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.