On Saturday 29 August 2026, Los Angeles Sparks play Washington Mystics in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 167.5 Total Points, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Over 167.5 Total Points (-108)
Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing
The Sparks and Mystics are set for a high-scoring game at Crypto.com Arena, with both teams having some key trends. The Mystics have been on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games, while the Sparks have struggled a bit, winning only 3 of their last 10. However, the Sparks allow a good number of three-point attempts, which could lead to a lot of scoring opportunities for the Mystics. Even with the Sparks' shaky recent form, their games tend to be high-scoring. The total points line is set at 167.5, and our numbers suggest they could combine for around 170 points. The biggest risk here is that the Sparks have been giving up quite a few rebounds, which might limit their scoring chances, but we still think these two teams can push the total over. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Los Angeles Sparks +6 on the Line (-120)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Washington Mystics have been on a roll, winning 7 out of their last 10 games, while the Los Angeles Sparks have only taken 3 of their last 10. The Sparks also give up a lot of rebounds, averaging 35.2 per game, which might hurt their chances against a strong Mystics team. However, the Sparks are at home and the game is expected to be very close, almost like a coin flip. Betting on the Sparks to cover a spread of 6 points could pay off, but keep in mind that both teams are pretty evenly matched, and the Mystics are hitting their stride. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Rae Burrell Over 19.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Rae Burrell is playing at home in Crypto.com Arena, and she's been stepping up lately, which gives a good chance for her to score more than 19.5 points, rebounds, and assists combined. The Sparks have struggled overall, winning just 3 of their last 10 games, and they allow a fair number of rebounds to opponents. Burrell could take advantage of this and rack up stats. Just keep in mind, the Mystics are on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10, which could make things tough for her. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Dearica Hamby Under 15.5 Points and Assists (-105)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Dearica Hamby has been struggling to find her rhythm lately, and that could be a real issue against the Washington Mystics. While the Sparks force turnovers at a solid rate, they give up a lot of rebounds and points, which makes it tough for their players to get going. Hamby's recent games have shown she's not hitting those scoring and assisting marks consistently, and with the Mystics winning 7 of their last 10, they're likely to keep the pressure on. Taking the under on Hamby's points and assists at 15.5 seems like a smart move. The Mystics have a strong defense and don't allow many open shots from deep. The risk here is just how close Hamby can get to that number; she could surprise and have a great game. But given her recent form, it feels like the safer bet is to expect her to come in under that total. It was priced at -105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.50 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Nneka Ogwumike Under 22.5 Points and Rebounds (-104)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Nneka Ogwumike has been struggling a bit lately, and the Sparks have only won 3 out of their last 10 games. The Mystics are on a roll with 7 wins in their last 10, and they are pretty good at limiting opponents' scoring chances. They allow just over 22 three-point attempts a game, which is pretty close to what the Sparks give up. Ogwumike's points and rebounds combined being under 22.5 seems like a solid bet here. The Sparks also give up a lot of rebounds, but Ogwumike's recent form doesn't inspire confidence in hitting that mark. The game could be tight, so it's worth considering this pick might not pan out. It was priced at -104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.60 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Los Angeles Sparks v Washington Mystics. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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