On Sunday 11 October 2026, Liverpool play Brighton and Hove Albion in the EPL. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Over 1.5 Total Goals, priced at -588 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Liverpool gears up to face Brighton, the stage is set for a goal frenzy. Liverpool's recent form at Anfield shows they're averaging 1.4 goals per game, but what’s more telling is their impressive ability to keep the pressure on opponents, boasting an average of 15.2 shots per match. When facing teams like Brighton, who have struggled defensively, you can expect that tally to rise. Brighton, while they’re not the most prolific side, can contribute to the scoreboard themselves. Their matches often see multiple goals, and given Liverpool's attacking prowess and Brighton's tendency to concede, hitting over 1.5 goals seems almost inevitable. The combination of Liverpool's home advantage and Brighton's defensive woes paints a compelling picture for a high-scoring affair. With the odds favoring this scenario heavily, it feels like a safe bet that fans won't leave Anfield disappointed.
That is how our model reads Liverpool v Brighton and Hove Albion. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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