On Saturday 29 August 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Toronto Tempo in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 175 Total Points, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 175 Total Points (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
For this bet to work, both teams need to score fewer than 175 points. The Las Vegas Aces have been solid lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games, but they often allow opponents to shoot a lot of threes and grab rebounds. On the other hand, the Toronto Tempo have struggled badly, winning only 1 of their last 10 and often falling behind by nearly 10 points a game. With both teams not scoring much lately, it feels likely we'll see a lower total. The biggest risk is that both teams have the potential to turn things around, but it seems like a good chance for the under. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Toronto Tempo +22 on the Line (-333)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The price on Toronto Tempo at +22 looks tempting, especially since our numbers see them as a strong favorite. The Aces have won 6 of their last 10 games, showing they're tough to beat. However, the Tempo have struggled, winning just 1 of their last 10 and often trailing by nearly 10 points in recent games. The Aces allow quite a few rebounds and threes, which could give Toronto some chances. Just remember, the Aces are still a solid team, so that makes it tough for the Tempo to keep up. It was priced at -333 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.00 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Betting on Isabelle Harrison to score under 14.5 points feels like a good choice at these odds. She's had some ups and downs in her scoring lately, with her last ten games showing numbers that bounce around quite a bit. Sometimes she scores as low as nothing, and other times she hits double digits. With Toronto Tempo struggling overall, losing nine of their last ten games, it's hard to see Harrison stepping up consistently against the Las Vegas Aces. The Aces are tough, and they defend well, so Harrison might find it hard to get her usual chances. Plus, Toronto is known for not forcing turnovers as well as other teams, which makes it even tougher for their players to get easy points on the board. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kia Nurse Under 8.5 Points (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Kia Nurse hasn't been in the best scoring form lately, and the Toronto Tempo overall struggle to put points on the board. They've only won once in their last ten games and often find themselves trailing by almost ten points in those games. That makes it tough for any player, including Nurse, to rack up points. On top of that, the Las Vegas Aces are a solid defensive team, allowing a fair amount of three-point attempts but keeping scoring low. Nurse will face strong pressure, especially since the Aces give up about 35 rebounds a game, which could limit her chances. With all this in mind, betting on Nurse to score under 8.5 points seems like a smart choice. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
A'ja Wilson Under 28.5 Points and Assists (-109)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
For A'ja Wilson to score under 28.5 points and assists tonight, she needs to have a quieter game than usual. The Toronto Tempo have struggled lately, winning just one of their last ten games and often falling behind by almost ten points in recent outings. This could mean fewer minutes for Wilson if the game gets out of hand. The Las Vegas Aces also give up a fair number of rebounds, which can limit scoring opportunities. Since they let opponents take a lot of three-point shots, it's possible that the Tempo might not score as much, leading to fewer chances for assists. While Wilson is a great player, the matchup suggests there's a good chance she might not hit that mark tonight. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Toronto Tempo. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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