On Sunday 27 September 2026, Las Vegas Aces play Indiana Fever in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Indiana Fever +4 on the Line, priced at -115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Indiana Fever +4 on the Line (-115)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Indiana Fever have been on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10 games, and they're scoring an impressive 96.7 points on average. While the Las Vegas Aces have also been strong, winning 6 in a row, the Fever's recent form makes this matchup close. Plus, they've got the advantage of a bit of extra rest. The bet on Indiana Fever +4 seems smart here since our numbers show this game is likely to be very tight. Just remember, the Aces are at home, which can be tough for any team. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Las Vegas Aces to Win (-154)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces need to keep their winning streak going against the Indiana Fever tonight. The Aces have been on fire, winning their last six games and putting up a solid average of 91.1 points per game this season. They've also won eight of their last ten, showing they know how to keep the momentum going. The Fever are strong as well, winning seven of their last ten and scoring 96.7 points per game, so it won't be an easy matchup. However, the Aces are at home, and they have the advantage of better recent form. One concrete risk is that the teams are quite close in overall wins this season, but the Aces seem likely to come out on top tonight. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.50 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 192.5 Total Points (-278)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
The Las Vegas Aces have been on a hot streak, winning 6 straight games and scoring a solid 91.1 points per game. The Indiana Fever are also playing well, but they have a slightly lower scoring average at 96.7 points per game. Our numbers suggest the total points in this matchup will be around 167, which is much lower than the line set at 192.5. The biggest risk is that both teams are capable of scoring, but with the Aces' recent defense and the Fever's travel, we think the under is a smart pick. It was priced at -278 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.60 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
A'ja Wilson Under 30.5 Points and Assists (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
A'ja Wilson has been on a solid streak, helping the Las Vegas Aces win six games in a row and eight of their last ten. However, the Indiana Fever are also scoring a lot, averaging nearly 97 points per game. Despite the fast pace from both teams, Wilson might not hit her usual mark for points and assists. The Aces rely on strong defense, which could limit Wilson's opportunities. With her recent averages showing a drop in three-pointers and assists, it makes sense to bet she will stay under 30.5 points and assists in this matchup. The Fever are tough, but keep an eye on how both teams play; this could be closer than expected. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Caitlin Clark Under 27.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Caitlin Clark needs to score fewer than 27.5 points and rebounds combined for this bet to work tonight. The Las Vegas Aces have been on fire, winning six in a row, while the Indiana Fever have also been strong lately, winning four of their last six. However, Clark's contributions might be limited since the Aces play tough defense and are known for shutting down key players. While Clark is talented, the match-up could present challenges for her to hit those high numbers. With the Aces allowing fewer points and rebounds in recent games, this could make it tough for her to reach 28 total. It's a close matchup, and that's the biggest risk. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jackie Young Under 25.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Jackie Young has been playing well, but she faces a tough matchup against the Indiana Fever. Both teams are scoring high, with the Fever averaging 96.7 points a game, but Jackie's recent points and rebounds may struggle against a solid defense. The Las Vegas Aces have also won six games in a row, so they'll be ready to keep their momentum going. Betting on Jackie Young to score under 25.5 points and rebounds is worth a look, especially since the matchup is close to a coin flip. The biggest risk is that both teams are performing well, and if Jackie has a breakout game, she could easily surpass that number. Still, her recent form suggests this total might be hard to hit. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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