On Saturday 3 October 2026, Juventus play Lazio in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Lazio +1 Goal Handicap, priced at -149 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Juventus vs Lazio: Lazio +1 Goal Handicap (-149)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Juventus gears up to host Lazio, the betting landscape hints at a compelling opportunity for Lazio to shine. Recent form tells a story—Juventus, while solid at home with a 3-1-1 record, has struggled against Lazio, recording only one win in their last five encounters. Lazio, on the other hand, has been a formidable force on the road, boasting a brilliant 4-1-0 record in their last five matches, consistently scoring 1.4 goals while allowing just 0.8. What really stands out is Lazio’s ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, with an impressive xG average that suggests they are creating quality chances. Juventus’ home attack has averaged just 1.2 goals at home, and with their recent defensive lapses, Lazio’s resilience makes them a worthy contender. Betting on Lazio with a one-goal handicap seems a savvy play in this intriguing Serie A clash.

Juventus vs Lazio: Lazio Draw No Bet (+285)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Juventus prepares to host Lazio, the dynamics of recent performance suggest Lazio could steal the show. Despite Juventus' home advantage, their last five matches reveal a mixed bag with only three wins, and they’ve been struggling to find the back of the net consistently, averaging just 1.2 goals at home. In contrast, Lazio is riding high, boasting an impressive four wins in their last five outings, and they’ve found the net 1.4 times per game away. What’s even more telling is Lazio’s defensive solidity; they’ve only allowed 0.8 goals per game on the road. Given their recent form and the head-to-head record, where they’ve held Juventus to a draw twice in their last five meetings, backing Lazio in the Draw No Bet market feels like a smart play. With the odds ripe for the taking, it’s worth a shot as they look to upset the Old Lady.

That is how our model reads Juventus v Lazio. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article