On Saturday 3 October 2026, Como play AS Roma in Serie A. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at +115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Como vs AS Roma: Under 2.5 Total Goals (+115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Como prepares to host AS Roma, the stage is set for a match that might not see the fireworks we often associate with Serie A. Recent form suggests a more cautious affair; Como has averaged just 1.8 goals in their last five outings, while their opponents have only managed a meager 1.2 goals against them. Notably, the home side’s defensive resilience has been commendable, allowing a mere 1 goal at home over their last five matches. Both teams have struggled to find high xG opportunities recently, indicating a trend toward low-scoring matches. With Como unbeaten in their last five against Roma, expect a tight contest that could very well finish under 2.5 goals. Given the odds and both teams’ recent scoring woes, this bet seems like a shrewd choice for those looking to capitalize on the tactical battle ahead.

Como vs AS Roma: AS Roma +0 Goal Handicap (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

As Roma rolls into Como riding a wave of momentum, and this matchup feels like a classic case of class versus grit. The Giallorossi have been dynamic in recent outings, averaging 1.8 goals per match over their last five, while Como, despite a respectable home record, has struggled to keep opponents at bay, conceding an average of 1.2 goals. With Roma's xG figures hinting at a more potent attack, their ability to create chances stands out—they average an impressive 23.2 shots per game. Meanwhile, Como’s defensive stats reveal vulnerabilities, particularly against teams that can exploit their weaknesses. Given Roma’s recent form, including positive head-to-head results against Como, backing them at level odds feels like a savvy move. Expect Roma to assert their superiority and take control, making them a solid choice to cover the handicap.

That is how our model reads Como v AS Roma. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article