On Thursday 8 October 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Las Vegas Aces in the WNBA. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 156.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 156.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Las Vegas Aces are really scoring this season, averaging an impressive 91.6 points per game. They've also been on fire lately, winning 9 of their last 10 games. The Golden State Valkyries have had a good run too, winning 8 of their last 10, so both teams are in great form. With both teams scoring well, it's likely we'll see a high total in this matchup. While both teams have faced tough opponents lately, the Aces have had a slightly easier schedule, which could give them an advantage. The total points line set at 156.5 seems reasonable, but our numbers suggest it could reach around 160.9. It's close to a coin flip, so there's a chance it might not hit that mark, but it feels like a solid bet to take a shot at the over. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Golden State Valkyries to Win (-115)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for the Golden State Valkyries to win are pretty inviting at -114. They've been on a good run, winning 8 of their last 10 games. This shows they can compete well, especially considering they've faced some tough teams lately. Meanwhile, the Las Vegas Aces are also strong, having won 9 of their last 10. What makes this matchup interesting is how evenly matched these teams are. The Valkyries have a solid scoring ability, but the Aces are scoring an impressive 91.6 points a game this season. With both teams in good form, it could easily go either way, making the Valkyries' slight advantage worth considering. Just remember, the Aces are no easy opponents. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Golden State Valkyries +0.5 on the Line (-125)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Golden State Valkyries are getting a small boost with the point spread at +0.5, which is great given they've won 8 of their last 10 games. They've also faced tougher opponents lately, making their recent wins even more impressive. The Las Vegas Aces have been strong too, winning 9 of their last 10 and scoring a lot, but this matchup feels very even. The main risk here is that the Aces have a higher scoring average this season. Still, the Valkyries are at home and have a good chance to keep it close, so this bet looks promising. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Chelsea Gray Over 3.5 Rebounds (+110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Chelsea Gray has been playing really well lately, and she's part of the Las Vegas Aces team that has won 9 of their last 10 games. The Aces are scoring a ton of points and dominating on the court. This makes it a good time to bet on Gray getting over 3.5 rebounds. While the game is expected to be tight, the Aces have been having some issues with turnovers and rebounding. This could mean more chances for Gray to grab boards. Just keep in mind that with both teams doing well, it could go either way. Still, Chelsea has the skills to help you cash in on this bet! It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kiah Stokes Over 3.5 Points (+110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Golden State Valkyries have been on a strong run lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've faced tough teams, which makes their winning streak even more impressive. On the other side, the Las Vegas Aces have also been fantastic, winning 9 of their last 10 and scoring a ton of points. With Kiah Stokes in the mix, betting on her to score over 3.5 points looks promising. Stokes has shown she can find ways to score, and with both teams playing at a high level, it should be a fast-paced game with plenty of chances. The main worry is that both teams are very strong, so it might be close. Still, with the right opportunities, Stokes should be able to hit that mark. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Stephanie Talbot Over 8.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

You can get some decent odds on Stephanie Talbot to score over 8.5 points and rebounds in this game. She plays for the Golden State Valkyries, who have been strong lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've faced tough competition, so Talbot's chances look good as she's used to high-pressure situations. The Las Vegas Aces are no slouches either, winning 9 of their last 10 and scoring an impressive 91.6 points a game this season. This means there will be a lot of action on the court, which could help Talbot rack up those stats. The biggest risk here is how well Talbot can keep up with the Aces' fast-paced game. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Las Vegas Aces. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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