On Saturday 3 October 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Dallas Wings in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Dallas Wings +8 on the Line, priced at -106 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Dallas Wings +8 on the Line (-106)

Odds available at LowVig at time of publishing

The Golden State Valkyries have been on fire lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games and 5 of their last 6. They've faced tough teams, but the Dallas Wings are also strong, with 7 wins in their last 10 games and scoring an impressive 89.2 points per game this season. This matchup looks pretty balanced, so taking Dallas Wings with the points seems smart. With the Valkyries being favored by 8 points, that's quite a cushion for the Wings, who are playing well. The most concrete risk is how close these teams are in recent form, making it tricky to predict a blowout. The Wings have shown they can keep games close, so this bet could pay off nicely. It was priced at -106 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.40 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 160.5 Total Points (-118)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

The odds for this game suggest the total points will stay under 160.5, which seems reasonable given how both teams are currently playing. The Golden State Valkyries have been solid lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games. They've faced tough opponents and managed to keep scores lower than usual, which is a big plus for this bet. The Dallas Wings are scoring a lot, but they've had some ups and downs too. With both teams having a closely matched recent record, this could be a tight contest. The Valkyries have a good defense, and our numbers estimate a combined total of around 157.4 points, making it likely that they won't hit the over. A concrete risk is the Wings' scoring ability, which could push totals higher if they get hot. It was priced at -118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.50 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Gabby Williams Under 3.5 Assists (+110)

Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing

Gabby Williams has been struggling with her assists lately, averaging under three in her recent games. The Golden State Valkyries are on fire, winning eight of their last ten, but Williams is still facing a tough matchup against the Dallas Wings, who have also been winning. Both teams have strong defenses, and with the Valkyries playing at home, they might focus more on scoring than setting up assists. There's a real chance Williams could get stuck under 3.5 assists since she hasn't been hitting that mark often. It's a risk, but the odds are appealing for this bet. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kayla Thornton Under 13.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Kayla Thornton is a key player for the Dallas Wings, but she faces a tough matchup against the Golden State Valkyries. Both teams are on a roll, with the Valkyries winning 8 of their last 10 games. While Thornton has been solid, the Valkyries have a strong defense that can limit scoring and assists, making it harder for her to hit those numbers. Betting on Thornton to score under 13.5 points, rebounds, and assists seems smart here. Our numbers give this pick a good chance, especially with the Valkyries' solid recent form and tough schedule. The risk is that Thornton has been known to step up in big moments, so she could surprise us. But overall, this looks like a promising bet with the current matchup dynamics. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Janelle Salaun Under 11.5 Points and Assists (-109)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Janelle Salaun has been a key player for the Golden State Valkyries, but she faces a tough matchup against the Dallas Wings. Both teams have been on a roll lately, with the Valkyries winning 8 of their last 10 games. However, Salaun's recent stats show she's been struggling to rack up points and assists, averaging well below what's needed for this bet. While the Valkyries have a strong overall record, Salaun's performance has dipped, and the Wings have been tough on defense. The biggest concern is that the Wings have a solid scoring defense, making it tricky for her to hit that mark. Betting on Salaun to score under 11.5 points and assists seems like a smart choice given these factors. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Dallas Wings. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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