On Saturday 17 October 2026, Golden State Valkyries play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Atlanta Dream +3 on the Line, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Atlanta Dream +3 on the Line (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
For the Atlanta Dream to cover the point spread of +3 against the Golden State Valkyries, they need to play strong basketball and keep their scoring up. The Dream have been on fire lately, winning 9 of their last 10 games and scoring an impressive average of nearly 95 points per game over their last 20 outings. Meanwhile, the Valkyries have also been doing well, winning 8 of their last 10, but they face a tough matchup here. Both teams are playing well, making this feel like a close game. The Dream are riding a six-game winning streak, but the Valkyries have faced tougher opponents lately. The biggest concern is that the Valkyries have home advantage, which can make things tricky. Still, the Dream's scoring ability gives them a good shot to keep it close and cover the spread. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 154.5 Total Points (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Both the Golden State Valkyries and Atlanta Dream have been showing some solid scoring lately, making this game exciting. With the Valkyries playing at home, they have a slight advantage, but the teams are very evenly matched overall. Our numbers suggest they could combine for around 158.6 points, which is more than the 154.5 points we're betting on. One big factor is that the Dream will travel a lot further than the Valkyries, which can wear a team down. Still, this matchup looks like it could be a real shootout. So, while there's a risk that both teams might not hit the mark, I think there's a good chance they can score enough to go over that total. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds correct at time of publishing
For this bet to hit, DeWanna Bonner needs to score over 8.5 points tonight. She's been consistent, and with Golden State winning 8 of their last 10 games, the team is in good form. Plus, they've faced tough competition lately, which shows they can handle pressure. While Atlanta Dream is also on a hot streak, Bonner has a solid chance to find her rhythm and contribute to the scoreboard. The biggest risk is that both teams are playing well, so it might be a close game. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Kiah Stokes Under 11.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Kiah Stokes has been struggling lately, especially with her scoring and rebounding. In her last five games, she's been averaging less than one field goal made and hasn't hit any three-pointers or steals. With numbers looking this way, it's tough to see her hitting more than 11 points and rebounds combined against the Atlanta Dream. The game is at Chase Center, which gives the Valkyries a boost, but the matchup still seems tricky. Stokes' recent performances show she's not in the best form, and the close rating suggests this could go either way. The real risk is how little she's contributing lately, making it hard to think she'll suddenly explode for big numbers today. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds correct at time of publishing
Janelle Salaun has been having a tough time scoring lately, and the Atlanta Dream's defense is known for making things difficult for opponents. In her last few games, she's only made about half a basket from long range and has been averaging very few rebounds and turnovers. This shows she's not getting many chances to put points on the board, which is why betting on her to score under 5.5 points feels like a solid move. The biggest risk here is that Golden State might find ways to create scoring opportunities for her. However, with her current form and the Dream's strong defense, it seems likely she will struggle to reach that point total. Overall, there's a good chance this bet could work out in your favor. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Golden State Valkyries v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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