Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pistons get ready to face the Pelicans, Jalen Duren's rebounding numbers are ripe for a dip. While the young big man has shown flashes of brilliance this season, his recent form suggests a regression to the mean. He's only averaged around 10.93 boards in his last few outings, well below the 12.5 mark we're targeting. It's worth noting that he's hit the Under in five straight games, and at home, he's only eclipsed that number in three of his last four contests. The Pelicans, meanwhile, boast solid rebounding depth, with players like Jonas Valanciunas and Zion Williamson often battling for boards. The matchup could lead to Duren being outmuscled down low, and with his current trend, banking on him to stay under 12.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play. It's not just about the numbers; it's about the narrative these stats weave together.

Tobias Harris (Detroit Pistons) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-135)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the New Orleans Pelicans, targeting Tobias Harris for under 1.5 threes made feels like a savvy play. Harris has averaged just 1.2 three-pointers in his last five games, and when we zoom in on his home performances, that figure only creeps up to 1.4. What's more telling is his track record against the Pelicans-he's hitting just 0.4 threes per game over their last few matchups. Even in front of the home crowd, he managed only one three per game against them. With a hit rate of 12 out of his last 15 games, it's tempting to think he could buck that trend. But given the numbers, it's clear that Harris struggles to find his mark against New Orleans. Taking the under here seems not just smart, but well-supported by the evidence. Keep an eye on this one!

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to face the New Orleans Pelicans, all eyes will be on Daniss Jenkins. Now, while Jenkins has flashed some potential from beyond the arc, his recent performances suggest a different narrative. Over the last 19 games, he's only cleared the 1.5 three-pointers mark three times, which translates to a solid under trend for bettors. At home, that trend is even more pronounced-he's nailed just one or none in seven of his last eight games at the Little Caesars Arena. You might think that with the Pistons needing offense, Jenkins could step up, but the Pelicans have been stingy defensively, especially on the perimeter. With an expected stat value of just 1.37 and an implied probability hovering around 48.1%, it's wise to lean toward the under on Jenkins' threes made. This bet feels like a savvy play in a matchup ripe for cautious shooting.

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