On Saturday 24 October 2026, Crystal Palace play Newcastle United in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace +0 Goal Handicap, priced at +105 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
When Crystal Palace hosts Newcastle, it's a matchup rich with narrative and recent trends. Despite a mixed home record of 2-1-2, Palace has showcased resilience, especially against Newcastle, winning two of their last five encounters. Their attacking stats may not scream dominance-averaging 1.8 goals at home-but they've often been competitive, facing opponents who tend to score more than they do. Newcastle, meanwhile, has struggled on the road, managing just one win in their last five and averaging a mere goal per game away from home. Their defense has been porous, conceding 2.2 goals to opponents, which plays into Palace's hands. With both teams showing inconsistency, opting for a handicap on Crystal Palace at zero feels prudent. They have the home advantage and the ability to edge out a result in what promises to be a closely contested affair.
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United: Over 1.5 Total Goals (-588)
Odds correct at time of publishing
When Crystal Palace hosts Newcastle United, expect a lively encounter that leans heavily toward goals. Both teams have shown a penchant for offensive play but struggle defensively. Palace's recent home fixtures average 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded-illustrating a trend where their defense has been breached. Meanwhile, Newcastle's away form reflects a similar narrative, allowing 2.2 goals while managing just 1 on the scoreboard themselves. With their recent xG metrics indicating a plethora of chances created, Palace's last five matches saw over 2.4 goals in total, while Newcastle's matchups trend toward similar high-scoring outcomes. The history between these two also suggests fireworks, with their last five meetings comfortably hitting the over. Given the teams' current form and attacking intentions, backing over 1.5 goals feels less like a gamble and more like a well-educated bet.
That is how our model reads Crystal Palace v Newcastle United. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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