On Thursday 27 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play Golden State Valkyries in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +12 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Connecticut Sun +12 on the Line (+110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Connecticut Sun need to beat the Golden State Valkyries by more than 12 points tonight. Despite winning only 2 of their last 10 games, the Sun have a solid chance since the Valkyries have a weaker defense, allowing a lot of three-pointers. Plus, the Sun give up fewer rebounds than most teams, which helps them control the game. However, the Sun have been struggling lately, so that might affect their confidence. If they play strong and take advantage of the Valkyries' defense, they could cover the spread. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Over 151 Total Points (-110)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
The Golden State Valkyries have been playing well lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games, while the Connecticut Sun have struggled, winning only 2 of their last 10. Both teams have shown they can score, and the Valkyries allow a lot of three-point attempts, which could lead to big points. The Sun have also let opponents grab a good number of rebounds, which gives extra chances for scoring. With a combined total expected around 158 points, betting on over 151 seems like a solid choice. Just remember, the Sun's recent form is a concern, and they need to step up their game to keep up the scoring pace. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
That's way below what you'd expect, and it shows she's not finding her teammates as often as she needs to. The Connecticut Sun have also lost 8 of their last 10 games, which could mean less ball movement and fewer opportunities for assists. On top of that, the Golden State Valkyries are tough on defense, allowing fewer assists than most teams in the league. They also give up quite a few rebounds, which can lead to fast breaks that might not involve Rivers. With these factors in mind, betting on Rivers to get fewer than 3.5 assists feels like a solid choice, but keep in mind the Suns can surprise. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Gabby Williams Over 16.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-109)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Gabby Williams has been pretty active lately, but her performance can really vary. She's recorded anywhere from 0 to 3 three-pointers in her last ten games, which shows she has the potential to score, but sometimes doesn't get the chance. The Connecticut Sun have struggled recently, winning only 2 out of their last 10 games, and they allow a fair number of rebounds, which could benefit Gabby's totals. The Golden State Valkyries have been on a roll, winning 7 of their last 10, but they do let opponents shoot a good amount of threes. With Gabby averaging around 22.5 minutes lately, she could find opportunities to hit that over of 16.5 points, rebounds, and assists. The biggest risk here is how inconsistent her scoring has been, but she has shown she can step up when needed. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.20 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Tiffany Hayes Over 6.5 Rebounds and Assists (-112)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Tiffany Hayes has been playing well lately, averaging around 7.5 rebounds and assists in her last ten games. With the Connecticut Sun giving up a lot of rebounds and not winning many games recently, she should have chances to rack up those stats. The Golden State Valkyries allow a decent number of rebounds too, which could help Hayes shine even more. The biggest risk is that she can be inconsistent, with her performances swinging from low to high. Still, this feels like a solid bet to go over 6.5. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v Golden State Valkyries. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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