On Friday 18 September 2026, Chicago Sky play Washington Mystics in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 168.5 Total Points, priced at -112 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 168.5 Total Points (-112)

Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing

The odds for this game suggest it might be a low-scoring matchup, and our numbers back that up with an expected total of around 164.8 points. The Mystics have traveled quite a bit, which might affect their performance. It's a tight call, so while the under bet looks promising, the game could still surprise us. It was priced at -112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.90 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Chicago Sky +4 on the Line (-120)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

The Chicago Sky have been playing well lately, showing they can keep games close. I like them to cover the spread at +4 against the Washington Mystics. The matchup is nearly even, with our numbers saying it's close to a coin flip. Chicago's recent form suggests they can compete effectively, especially since they've had less travel than Washington. The biggest worry is that the Sky might not win, as our model predicts they could lose by just over 2 points. Still, taking the points with Chicago feels like a solid choice here. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Georgia Amoore Under 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Georgia Amoore has been struggling to hit shots from beyond the arc lately. In her last five games, she's averaged just over four field goals made, but when it comes to three-pointers, she's only managed to make about 0.8. This suggests she's not finding her rhythm from long distance. Playing at home in Wintrust Arena against the Washington Mystics, the pressure might be on her, but the stats show she's not consistently making those three-pointers. The Mystics are a solid defensive team, which could make it even tougher for her to find open looks. With the bet being set at under 1.5 three-pointers made, there's a good chance she won't reach that mark. Just remember, it's a close matchup, so things could go either way. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sonia Citron Under 16.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Sonia Citron has been having a bit of a tough time finding her scoring groove lately. She's averaging just under 4 points in her recent games, which is well below what she needs to hit the 16.5 mark against the Washington Mystics. With the Sky up against a solid defense from the Mystics, it's likely she'll struggle to get the open looks she needs. The Mystics have been pretty good at limiting scoring, especially against players like Citron. The most concrete risk here is that she could surprise everyone with a breakout game, but right now, it seems the odds are in favor of her staying under that points total. This bet has a good chance based on the numbers, but nothing's guaranteed in sports! It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Shakira Austin Over 17.5 Points (+105)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Shakira Austin has been playing well lately, but she hasn't attempted many three-pointers, which is unusual for her. However, she does get to the free-throw line more than usual, averaging about seven attempts in recent games. This means she can score points even if her shooting isn't on fire. The matchup against the Chicago Sky could be tricky, as they're a tough team, but Austin has the skills to find ways to score. It's a close call, so while I like the bet over 17.5 points for her, just know the Sky's defense is strong. It was priced at +105 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.50 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Chicago Sky v Washington Mystics. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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