Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 24.5 Rebounds + Assists (-106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Nikola Jokic rolls into Phoenix, there's a compelling case to take the under on his combined rebounds and assists at 24.5. Although the reigning MVP has been dazzling recently, averaging nearly 24.8 combined in his last five outings, the Suns present a unique challenge. Historically, when playing away against Phoenix, Jokic's numbers dip; he's averaged just 10 rebounds and 9.8 assists in similar matchups. That's a stark contrast to his usual dominance.Moreover, in his last 20 away games, he's only cleared this mark 65% of the time. Given that the Suns will likely focus on limiting his playmaking, expect Jokic to find himself double-teamed more than usual, impacting his assist totals. With his expected stat value around 21.19, and the underlying numbers suggesting a tighter game, betting the under seems like a savvy play for this matchup.

Malik Monk (Sacramento Kings) Under 4.5 Assists (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Malik Monk steps onto the court against his former team, the Charlotte Hornets, there's a compelling case for taking the under on his assists at 4.5. While Monk has flashed playmaking potential, recent trends suggest a more subdued role when playing away from home. In his last five games, he's averaged just three assists on the road, and against Charlotte, that number dips to a mere three as well.The Hornets' defense is adept at limiting playmakers, and Monk's last 17 games show he's hit the under in 12 of them. With his current expected assists pegged at just 2.86, it's clear he'll need to exceed his recent performance to hit the over. Considering his recent form and the matchup, backing the under on Monk's assists feels strategically sound.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-128)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets host the Sacramento Kings, all eyes will be on Moussa Diabate, but betting on him to go under 12.5 rebounds and assists might just be the smart play. At home, his production has dipped slightly, averaging just 10.8 rebounds and 1.8 assists in his last five games. Against the Kings, he's averaged only 5 rebounds at home and a disheartening 0 assists. While his overall numbers look decent, the trend against this specific opponent is concerning. Diabate has hit the under in 13 of his last 20 home games, and with an expected stat value of 9.7, it's clear he's not likely to cross that 12.5 threshold tonight. With the Kings' defense tightening up, this could be a game where Diabate struggles to make a significant impact. Betting under feels like a prudent move in this matchup.

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