MacKenzie Gore (WSN) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1000)

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The bet on MacKenzie Gore for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is backed by his consistent performance data. His overall and away averages for strikeouts in the last five games stand at 9 and 8.6 respectively, significantly higher than the line set at 2.5. This shows that Gore consistently strikes out more than 2.5 batters per game. His average innings pitched both overall and away are above 5, indicating that he usually stays in the game long enough to achieve this strikeout rate. Moreover, his current hit streaks, both overall and away, further demonstrate his consistent performance. Despite a lower average against the Padres, his overall and away performance data suggest a high likelihood of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts.

Nick Pivetta (SDP) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Nick Pivetta for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed (Alternate) market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Pivetta has allowed an average of 3.2 hits per game overall and at home, which is significantly higher than the 1.5 line set for this bet. His performance against the Nationals is even more telling, as he has allowed an average of 5 hits per game. Additionally, his current hit streak stands at 4 games overall and 9 games at home, indicating a consistent pattern of allowing multiple hits. This trend, combined with his average innings pitched (6 overall, 6.2 at home, and 4.1 against the Nationals), suggests that he is likely to allow over 1.5 hits in the upcoming game.

Max Scherzer (TOR) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Max Scherzer for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. In his last five games, Scherzer has allowed an average of 4 hits overall, 5 hits when playing away, and 3 hits against the Guardians. This consistently exceeds the line of 1.5. Furthermore, his innings pitched (IP) averages also support this bet. His overall, away, and against opponent IP averages are all above 3, indicating that he typically stays on the mound long enough to potentially allow more than 1.5 hits. Finally, Scherzer's current hit streaks, 9 overall and 17 when playing away, show a pattern of allowing hits in consecutive games. This data-driven analysis suggests that it is statistically likely Scherzer will allow more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game.

Max Fried (NYY) Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Max Fried for over 3.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a strong choice due to his consistent performance, particularly when playing away. Over the last five games, Fried's overall strikeout average has been 6, which is significantly above the line of 3.5. Furthermore, his strikeout average increases to 6.2 when playing away, indicating that he performs even better in away games. Although his strikeout average against the Reds is slightly lower at 4.5, this is still above the line. Also, Fried's innings pitched averages are consistently above 6, both overall, away, and against the Reds, which suggests he will have ample opportunities to achieve the required strikeouts. Thus, Fried's consistent strikeout performance and innings pitched, especially in away games, make this bet a solid choice.

Max Fried (NYY) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Max Fried to allow over 0.5 walks is supported by his recent pitching performance. His last five overall games show an average of 1.4 walks allowed, which is significantly higher than the bet line of 0.5. Even when considering his away games, Fried's average walks allowed is 0.8, still above the bet line. Although his average walks allowed against the Reds is exactly 0.5, his overall and away game trends suggest a higher likelihood of exceeding this number. Furthermore, the average innings pitched in his last five games, both overall and away, is above 6, providing ample opportunities for walks. The current hit streaks also indicate that teams are making contact with Fried's pitches, which could lead to more walks. Based on these stats, the bet on Fried to allow more than 0.5 walks is statistically justified.

Michael Wacha (KCR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Michael Wacha for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Wacha's last five games show an average of 4 strikeouts overall, 4.6 at home, and an impressive 6.2 against the Tampa Bay Rays, all comfortably above the line of 2.5. His innings pitched and outs averages also suggest he is likely to have ample opportunities to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts. Furthermore, Wacha is currently on a hit streak both overall and at home, indicating a consistent high level of performance. These stats suggest that Wacha is not only capable of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts, but that it is a likely outcome, especially given he is playing at home and against a team he has previously performed well against.

Max Fried (NYY) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Max Fried for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Fried has consistently allowed an average of 5 hits overall, with this number increasing to 5.8 when playing away. This trend is also evident against the Cincinnati Reds, where Fried has allowed an average of 6.5 hits. Despite his innings per game remaining relatively stable, the number of hits Fried allows has consistently surpassed the 2.5 line. This suggests a pattern of allowing a higher number of hits, making the Over 2.5 bet a statistically sound choice. The current hit streaks being at zero also does not detract from this analysis as past performance shows a tendency towards higher hit rates.

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