Best MLB Parlay Picks Today, Sunday 07/12 (7-Leg) Featuring Xander Bogaerts!: Expert MLB Selections

As the San Diego Padres prepare to host the Toronto Blue Jays, all eyes will be on Jackson Merrill and his propensity at the plate. While the young infielder has shown flashes of brilliance, his disciplined hitting has been evident lately, with only a handful of walks in his last few series. Merrill typically thrives in aggressive counts, which makes the under on 2.5 walks a compelling bet. The Blue Jays' pitching staff has been stingy as well, boasting a strikeout rate that ranks in the top tier of the league, minimizing opportunities for free passes. Furthermore, the Padres are known for their aggressive approach, often putting the ball in play rather than waiting for walks. With the stakes high and both teams vying for postseason positioning, expect Merrill to be more focused on making contact than drawing walks. This setting makes the under on his walks a savvy pick for Sunday’s showdown.

Fernando Tatis Jr. (SDP) Under 2.5 Walks (-1111)

As the Padres gear up to face the Blue Jays, keep an eye on Fernando Tatis Jr. and his walks. The talented shortstop has shown a tendency to swing aggressively, making it tough for him to get on base via the free pass. This season, he's averaging just under one walk per game, and with the Blue Jays' impressive pitching depth, it’s unlikely he’ll find many opportunities to take a stroll. Toronto’s bullpen has been particularly stingy, boasting a low walk rate, which aligns perfectly with the notion that Tatis might struggle to draw the necessary two-and-a-half walks. Moreover, with the Padres in a crucial stretch of the season, expect Tatis to be more focused on making contact and driving in runs rather than waiting for his pitch. Betting the under here feels like a savvy play, especially considering the matchup dynamics at play.

James McCann (NYM) Under 3.5 RBIs (-2000)

As the Dodgers square off against the Diamondbacks, the spotlight falls on James McCann, but bettors should consider the "Under 3.5 RBIs" line with caution. McCann has been a solid contributor, yet against a Dodgers squad that thrives on pitching depth, his chances of racking up multiple RBIs diminish. Los Angeles' starters have been outstanding lately, boasting an impressive strikeout rate that stymies even the hottest hitters. Moreover, Arizona's lineup has struggled against left-handed pitching, and with the Dodgers likely deploying a lefty, McCann might find himself in a tough spot. Historically, he’s had modest success against lefties, and with the pressure on, it's unlikely he’ll drive in more than a couple of runs. Considering these factors, taking the under on McCann's RBIs feels like a prudent move in this matchup.

Andy Pages (NA) Under 2.5 Singles (-455)

As the Dodgers gear up to face the Diamondbacks, eyes should be on Andy Pages and his singles production. Lately, Pages has struggled to find gaps in the defense, and the numbers back it up. He averages just under one single per game against right-handed pitchers, and with the D-backs throwing their ace, who boasts a solid 3.20 ERA, it's likely to be a challenging day for him. The Dodgers' powerhouses have a knack for driving runs, but they often rely on extra-base hits rather than small ball. With Pages sitting under 2.5 singles in this matchup, the odds favor the under. The Diamondbacks’ defense has been surprisingly effective, turning potential singles into outs, and that's likely to continue. Given these trends, betting the under on Pages' singles feels like a smart move, especially with the current form of both teams.

Ernie Clement (TOR) Under 1.5 Walks (-2500)

As the Padres gear up to face the Blue Jays on Sunday, keep an eye on Ernie Clement’s walk total. With a line set at 1.5, the under seems enticing. Clement has consistently struggled to draw walks, boasting a mere 6% walk rate this season. His aggressive swing has led him to chase pitches outside the zone, making it difficult for him to capitalize on free passes. Moreover, the Padres’ pitching staff has been on fire recently, particularly in limiting walks. They rank among the top teams in the league for controlling the strike zone, and with pitchers like their ace on the mound, expect tight pitching that keeps Clement swinging rather than waiting. Given his recent trends and the Padres' stingy approach, betting the under on Clement’s walks feels like a smart play in this matchup.

Gabriel Moreno (ARI) Under 1.5 Walks (-1000)

As the Dodgers host the Diamondbacks in this Sunday showdown, all eyes will be on Gabriel Moreno. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance at the plate, recent trends suggest he might struggle to draw walks today. Over the past month, Moreno has averaged just under one walk per game, and against a potent Dodgers pitching staff—particularly the starter on the mound today—he faces a tough challenge. The Dodgers' pitchers rank among the league leaders in limiting walks, showcasing a disciplined approach that keeps hitters off base. Moreover, with the urgency of a playoff push, expect Los Angeles to come out firing, putting even more pressure on Moreno to swing aggressively rather than wait for pitches. Given the way he’s been swinging lately, betting the under on 1.5 walks feels like a savvy play, especially with the model hinting at a strong edge in this matchup.