On Saturday 24 October 2026, Azamat Murzakanov takes on Dominick Reyes in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 1.5 Total Rounds, priced at -120 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Under 1.5 Total Rounds (-120)
Odds correct at time of publishing
You can bet on the total rounds for the fight between Azamat Murzakanov and Dominick Reyes, and the odds are set at -120 for under 1.5 rounds. Our data suggests that this fight is likely to end quickly, with an expected total of about 0.9 rounds. Both fighters have finishing power, which makes it tough for this matchup to go the distance. The risk here is that both fighters are very competitive and skilled, and they could surprise us with a longer bout. Still, with Murzakanov's aggressive style and Reyes needing to find a way to avoid being taken down, it seems more likely this fight wraps up early rather than going the full distance. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Dominick Reyes to Win (+185)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Dominick Reyes has been in a tough spot lately, but he's a skilled striker with a lot of heart. He needs to keep the fight standing and use his striking skills to outpoint Azamat Murzakanov. The odds are in his favor as an underdog, which means he has a real shot to win this fight. Murzakanov is a tough opponent, and the fight could be closer than it seems. Reyes has been known to struggle against strong wrestlers, so if Murzakanov can take him down, it might shake things up. Still, with Reyes's striking ability, this could be a great chance for him to bounce back and take the victory. It was priced at +185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $28.50 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
The tale of the tape:
- Azamat Murzakanov: last five L-W-W-W-W, lost the last fight, 35% of career wins came by knockout, 196 days since the last fight
- Dominick Reyes: last five W-L-W-W-W, won the last fight, 29% of career wins came by knockout, 196 days since the last fight
That is how our model reads Azamat Murzakanov v Dominick Reyes. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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