On Sunday 4 October 2026, Atlanta Dream play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Atlanta Dream -3 on the Line, priced at -120 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Atlanta Dream -3 on the Line (-120)
Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing
Betting on Atlanta Dream to cover a spread of 3 points at -120 seems promising. The biggest risk here is that both teams are closely matched, making this a tight contest. Still, with the Dream's recent form, they look likely to pull off the win by a few points. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Atlanta Dream to Win (-154)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
The odds at -152 for the Atlanta Dream to win look promising, especially since they've been on fire, winning 9 out of their last 10 games. They've also won all of their last 6 matches. On top of that, the teams they've played recently haven't been easy, with a combined record that shows they faced one of the toughest schedules in the league. The New York Liberty have also been doing well, winning 6 of their last 10 and 4 of their last 6. However, they just might have a tougher time on the road, as they've traveled more than Atlanta and have played teams that are slightly tougher overall. The biggest risk is how closely matched these two teams can be based on their recent performances. It was priced at -154 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.50 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Jordin Canada has been on fire lately, helping the Atlanta Dream win 6 games in a row and 9 of their last 10. Her scoring has been key to their success, and she's playing against the New York Liberty, who have had a tough schedule but have still managed to win 4 of their last 6. Betting on Canada to score over 11.5 points feels like a solid choice. The chance of this bet hitting is close to even, but the biggest worry is that New York has been tough on defense. Still, with Canada's current form, she has a good shot to reach that number. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Naz Hillmon Over 10.5 Points and Rebounds (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Naz Hillmon's points and rebounds line is set at over 10.5, and it's looking good. The Atlanta Dream are on fire, winning 9 of their last 10 games and averaging an impressive 94 points in their last 20. Hillmon has been a big part of that success. New York Liberty have faced tough teams lately, but they've only won 6 of their last 10. The risk here is that Hillmon could have an off night against a solid Liberty defense. Still, with the Dream's scoring form, this bet feels promising. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Allisha Gray Under 24.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-111)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Allisha Gray has been a crucial part of the Atlanta Dream's success, helping them win 9 of their last 10 games. With the Dream scoring an impressive 94 points a game during their recent stretch, the focus might be on their offensive firepower. However, Gray's contributions in points, rebounds, and assists may not be as high as expected against the New York Liberty, who have faced one of the toughest schedules in the league. While Gray has played well, the risk is that she might have limited chances to rack up her totals against a solid Liberty defense. With New York's strong performance over the last few games, betting on Gray to stay under 24.5 points, rebounds, and assists seems like a reasonable choice. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Atlanta Dream v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article