On Friday 16 October 2026, TSG Hoffenheim play Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Bayer Leverkusen +0 Goal Handicap, priced at -135 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Odds correct at time of publishing
As Bayer Leverkusen heads to Hoffenheim on Sunday, the stats paint a compelling picture for backing them with a handicap of 0. Leverkusen has been a force away from home lately, scoring an average of 2.2 goals in their last five away matches while only conceding 2.4. In contrast, Hoffenheim has struggled significantly, managing just 1.8 goals per game over their last five, with a worrying defensive average of 2.6 goals conceded. Leverkusen’s recent form against Hoffenheim shows they've come out on top three times in their last five meetings, showcasing a strong psychological edge. The xG numbers might not tell the full story, but with Leverkusen’s attacking prowess and Hoffenheim's defensive lapses, it feels like a ripe opportunity for the away side to capitalize. With Leverkusen looking strong and Hoffenheim faltering, placing your chips on Bayer makes a lot of sense.
TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: Bayer Leverkusen Draw No Bet (-141)
Odds correct at time of publishing
As TSG Hoffenheim welcomes Bayer Leverkusen, the visitors appear to be in prime form, making a bet on Leverkusen in the Draw No Bet market compelling. Hoffenheim’s recent home record is shaky, managing just one win in their last five outings, and they’ve conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game lately. On the flip side, Leverkusen is riding high with a 3-1-1 record in their last five, scoring an impressive 2.8 goals per match. They’ve also proven resilient against Hoffenheim, winning three of their last five encounters. With Leverkusen's attack firing on all cylinders and Hoffenheim struggling defensively, this match-up sets the stage for an away victory.
That is how our model reads TSG Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article